Thursday, January 2, 2014
Science,
Religion and Evolution
Table
of Contents
Is Science really just another
religion?
Science
and Religion or Science as Religion?
What
is Religion then?
What
is Dogma then?
How
does Dogma Fit into Religion?
So
how is Science not Religion?
Science,
evidence, and near‑proof
Well
asked is half answered
Why
dogma as the diagnostic criterion?
Science,
religion and. . .
Evolution
as a religion
Religion
versus science
Dogmatism
or fundamentalism as blasphemy
Update: The fellow who agrees with
everything you say. . .
Science
commits suicide when it adopts a creed.
Thomas
Huxley
One spoiling tactic that many
apologists for various anti-scientific themes resort to is the claim that
science is neither more nor better than a religion, and as such has no more persuasive
merit than any other superstition. This
quibble is scientifically, philosophically, religiously, and ethically
bankrupt, but even to begin to refute it we must establish a clear criterion by
which to distinguish science from religion. Strictly speaking, most of the
instances of where I speak of “science”. What I really mean is “scientific
behaviour” or “scientific activity”, meaning activity governed by principles
according to which we advance our rational discrimination between alternative
hypotheses of physical reality.
If that strikes you as too
pretentiously put, or too parochial or pedantic, please pass over the
difficulty; if you insist on referring to all that mysterious stuff as
“science” feel welcome, unless you then make assertions in which it does make
much difference. But the views of most people concerning science or scientific
behaviour are so vague and confused, that it rarely matters much.
My difficulty is that the way the term
“science” is used, as opposed to “scientific behaviour”, is so confused that I
am in no position to cast stones; I too offend. However, the distinction is so
radical, that sometimes we need to be specific.
This essay describes and illustrates a
simple criterion for distinguishing scientific activity from faith or dogma; it
will neither please nor even satisfy everybody, but it is sufficient,
necessary, and cogent. The essay
includes a brief discussion of claims that evolution
itself is no different from a religious faith or dogma.
Science
reckons many prophets, but there is not even a promise of a Messiah.
Thomas
Huxley
In
some circles it has become a cliché that science is merely an instance of a
religion. For such an assertion to be
meaningful, much less correct, it must be possible to demonstrate some
attribute that defines any particular thing as a religion, and to show that
science has that attribute. If on the
other hand we are to demonstrate that it is unreasonable to class science as a
religion, we need to establish diagnostic criteria that distinguish between
science and religion: "X is (or is not) science (or religion) insofar as
it meets (or fails to meet) criterion Y."
Note
that this would not necessarily imply
that everything must be either science or religion.
Nonetheless,
given such a criterion, any
particular thing or class of things might be one, the other, or neither, but
not both. An elementary NAND
relationship in formal logic, if you like.
As we shall see, this is a bit optimistically simplistic, but we can
achieve a good first approximation for practical purposes.
Whatever
else they might be, science and religion both are activities based on
conceptions or bodies of theory, and for the most part both depend in practice
on their adherents being able to persuade others of their ideas. (“Go ye
therefore, and teach all nations. . . ”)
Nothing forbids a hermit to worship without preaching, or a scientist
such as Cavendish
to do ground-breaking research without publishing, but for the purposes of this
discussion, we may ignore introversion as irrelevant, however devout or profound
it may be. At the least such
practitioners work to convince themselves
of the validity of their own ideas, so we may regard the hermits as
degenerate cases, rather than counter‑examples.
Such
distractions notwithstanding, is it possible to formulate and demonstrate
criteria for distinguishing science from religion?
One
argument in favour of regarding science as religion is the claim that, in spite
of the belief common among scientists and the public, science has all the answers.
Ohhh
DEAR!!!
Now,
science in fact, as a means of establishing facts, is fallible, and in particular, conclusions that have been derived
validly, or arguably validly, by scientific procedures, are accordingly
fallible.
To
begin with, I cannot answer for all members of the public, but I don’t know any
scientist who believes in the infallibility of science. For example M.
Cartmill, an anthropologist, put it vividly as follows:
"As an adolescent I aspired to lasting fame, I craved factual certainty,
and
I thirsted for a meaningful vision of human life — so I became a
scientist.
This
is like becoming an archbishop so you can meet girls."
Wry,
but realistic — and penetrating . . .
Indeed,
many people claim that in contrast to science, it is religion that has all the
answers, including in particular all those answers that science lacks. This is ironic, because one of its cardinal strengths
is that religion does not always need
answers, particularly not morally or logically cogent answers. For reasons that I mention later, religious
answers do not as a rule need to stand up to ethical, logical or even factual
criticism. They do not even need to be consistent, let alone sensible or
compassionate. In a similar connection, Daniel
Dennett quoted without attribution:
"Philosophy is questions that may never be answered.
Religion
is answers that may never be questioned."
In
either science or religion, arguments may or may not involve material evidence
and the search for new insights, therefore such argument is not helpful in
distinguishing science from religion. Where science and religion do tend to
differ from each other in ways that matter in practice, is largely in how they establish, develop, and defend or
extend opinions — their
epistemology, if you like.
Science
in particular demands the construction of arguments with which, if they please,
sceptics may convince themselves, perhaps
using their own methods and data, rather than accepting assertions unquestioned.
In practice such a stage of persuasion and scepticism may be protracted,
heated, sometimes embittered. In the long run it even may turn out to have been
mistaken and pointless, when the disagreement is based on common views that
later are found to be mistaken, or on shared terminology that turns out to be
based on mutually conflicting semantics. However, in scientific activity, if
all the sceptic achieves is the conviction that he has as yet no conclusive
counter‑argument, even that is progress of a sort.
Instead
of course, the sceptic might convince you that his argument or evidence rests on stronger ground than yours. That also happens. If your
change of mind is rational, that too is progress.
Science
is based on the opinion and insight of the scientist. Its recourse to, and reliance on, observation,
prediction, disciplines, logic, and cogent theory, does not alter this fact;
the scientist has nothing but his own opinion to justify his certainty of the
reality or accuracy of his observations and theories; he has no more ultimate
justification for these views than any believer. Scientific research produces
wrong or incomplete answers and trivialities more often than it produces
durable scientific "laws". It progresses by its heuristic nature, not by its infallibility. "Further research is
necessary . . ." is almost a reflex cliché in articles
reporting on research — and with good reason.
"Material",
or "empirical", scientific "proof" is based on material
"induction"
from "abduction",
which unlike formal induction, is not
logically compelling; not formally
logical proof at all.
Many
a scientist and philosopher would happily crucify me for that assertion, those
who did not assume that I had typed the statement inadvertently. But no, I did
nothing of the type. I too, am well aware that nowadays in many circles there
have been attempts to eliminate induction.
Popper
in particular tried to substitute the idea of basing scientific work on
hypotheses to be falsified, but in my opinion he achieved nothing more
substantial than a change in terminology.
In the views that he presented through the decades, the old difficulties
with "induction" remain, and so do most of the pre‑Popperian merits;
hypotheses do not emerge from a vacuum. His views might have startled and
impressed many people whose views were superficial, but really, his major
assault on induction had been invalidated even before he published or developed
it. For an introduction to major examples, see the articles on underdetermination, and on the Duhem-Quine
thesis. I cite those as being
easily accessible, and as offering references that readers may follow according
to need or taste; interested readers also could proceed to the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy and
search for those two terms, but beware: though the fields are absorbing, there
is a lot of material, in many contexts, and demanding serious thought; if you
skim it and find the topics trivial, better sniff the coffee, wake up, and
think again!
Even
the so‑called analytic sciences — logic,
mathematics and the like — are founded on belief; not necessarily belief
in any particular assertions that practitioners might make, but in the validity
of logical operations such as deduction, implication and so on — and
belief in any particular formal proof of anything may be an error; for example,
the constructor of the proof might have made an unnoticed slip, or the premises
might include an invalid assumption or false data.
Please
note however, that in saying so I am not
guilty of the solecism of asserting that formal axioms are in any way
essentially true, false or even meaningful; the possible errors I refer to are
in the derivation and application of the formal procedures. It is perfectly possible for me to accept standard
axioms of arithmetic, and yet to blunder in accidentally and erroneously
deriving say, the conclusion that three cubed equals nine. Errors occur in the
formal disciplines as well as in laboratory or field research, and in the work
of some of the greatest intellects.
A
major example — I am uncertain to what extent it was humorously intended
or not — was Gödel's
ontological proof of the "existence of God". It appears under
that name in Wikipedia, and if you are interested, that is as good a discussion
as I have seen anywhere.
Some
scientists might argue that this class of procedure, of deriving inferences
from theory, hypothesis, and observation is not really belief, but something
more like conditionally and transiently entertaining a given hypothetical
structure, but that is doubtful pleading.
A scientist rarely does much work on hypotheses that he flatly
disbelieves; he looks for, and tests, the ones that he thinks are most probably
right, or at least suggestive, viable, and defensible, in terms of his ideas or
initial observations, as they survive these processes. Roughly speaking,
deriving such bases from which induction and deduction may proceed, is a
process of abduction. In case the
concept is unfamiliar, there is a good discussion at: Abductive
reasoning.
As
everyday opinions go, although the evidence for the idea is strictly abductive
and inductive, and accordingly tentative, even conjectural, it would be a
highly atypical scientist who does not believe firmly that on Earth stones fall
(i.e. more or less, that their trajectories end in the position of lowest
potential energy accessible on the surface of solid earth unless they are
propelled into space with sufficient velocity.)
As
Kipling
put it in "The Gods of the Copybook Headings":
We
were living in trees when they met us.
They showed us each in turn
That Water would certainly wet us,
as Fire would certainly burn . . .
Patently then, belief as such also is not useful as a criterion for distinguishing
religion from science.
Science is a term applied to a broad
range of concepts and contexts, but some of them apply broadly too. One is
"nullius
in verba" it is a topic in its own right, and rather than
discus it deeply here, I refer readers to that entry in Wikipedia, and also the
entry on "Social
Epistemology".
I also would lightly paraphrase an item
I found in Steven
Pinker's book on Rationality,
in which he quoted a typically trenchant quip of Fran Lebowitz, which seems to
me to encapsulate much of the essence of nullius
in verba:
"I
feel no need to believe in anything that needs to be believed in".
The
opposite of the religious fanatic is not the fanatical atheist but
the gentle cynic who cares not whether there is a god or not.
Eric Hoffer
Methinks
there be not impossibilities enough in religion for an active faith:
the deepest mysteries ours contains have not only been illustrated,
but maintained, by syllogism and the rule of reason.
I love to lose myself in a mystery; to pursue my reason to an O altitudo!
'Tis my solitary recreation to pose my apprehension with those involved enigmas
and riddles of the Trinity —
with
incarnation and resurrection.
I can answer all the objections of Satan and my rebellious reason with
that odd resolution I learned of Tertullian, "Certum est quia impossibile est".
I desire to exercise my faith in the difficultest point;
for, to credit ordinary and visible objects, is not faith, but persuasion.
Religio Medici. Sir Thomas Browne
Then
how do we show that science is
distinct from religion? First let us see
what religion is; if we cannot find any criterion defining
religion, then it is hard to see how we can be sure of defining non‑religion.
Immediately
we encounter a difficulty. Religion is
enormously miscellaneous. What unites
say, Nama/Kung
Mantis veneration, Buddhism,
Hinduism,
Judeo-Christian-Muslim
beliefs, Mormonism,
Marxism,
Norse,
Classical,
aboriginal American, and Australian
religions? Far from being no more
than mutually contradictory, even mutually hostile, many religions, and even
sects in nominally the same religion, are, in effect, mutually
incomprehensible. In fact the closest
approach to unanimity among religions, be they never so in favour of ecumenism,
is almost of necessity that each asserts or implies that the others are in
error. To me this recalls Piet_Hein's
Commutative Law of Similarity:
No
cow's like a horse,
and no horse like a cow.:
That's one similarity
anyhow.
After
all, if two religions did not
disagree in any respect, it should follow that they were the same single
religion. What else could they be? For
two religions to concede that there were no differences between their beliefs,
at least one would have to die, or subsume itself in the other, possibly both.
So,
to speak of, for example: "The Christian (or Muslim or other)
religion" is grossly misleading; they are batches of separate religions.
To point out that many of them hold compatible tenets, and assert that
therefore they are really the same religion in essence, makes about as much
sense as to point out (correctly) that doctors and mechanics share many of
their skills and principles, and to conclude (incorrectly) that actually the
two categories of professions are the same.
And
yet. . .
Apart
from sharing their mutual dissimilarity, all religions do have at least one
thing in common:
they all have dogma.
Here
the term "dogma" raises hackles and prompts denial, often furious and
abusive. And yet, in the technical sense, it is not specifically pejorative; it
does not refer to closed‑minded assertion as such. In this sense
"dogma" is the technical term for that
part of a body of belief that is given as non‑negotiable. If you like, it
is the statement of that part of a religion that adherents unconditionally believe. Call
it the doctrine or tenets if you prefer (some persons go ballistic, even
hysterical, if you characterise their tenets as (horrors!) dogma instead of say, faith!)
Why is everyone so stubborn?
Nein! Nein! NEIN!!!
German NO vote from Ustinov's Diplomats
Perhaps
you wish to draw fine distinctions between such terms as doctrine and dogma,
but for present purposes they are not likely to be very relevant. For the rest of the discussion I mainly shall
use the term “dogma”.
Don't
assume that the distinction is a semantic irrelevance; I have had online
shouting matches with people who insist that dogma is completely different from "doctrine" and "tenet",
and they have kindly undertaken to instruct me on the point at ninety‑five
decibels, even by reference to dictionaries — dictionaries that they tend
to quote partially, inaccurately, or inappropriately.
Sadly,
such quotes, even accurate quotes from up‑to‑date dictionaries, are inadequate
in such contentions. Apart from the fact that the current fashion in
lexicography leans towards recording
usage, rather than prescribing it
(often to my personal disgust) there is the fact that I too own and use
dictionaries in several functions, so I am less embarrassed in dismissing
dictionary‑derived objections, than dictionary purists had no doubt intended,
much less expected, or at least hoped.
The
reality is that many words have more than one clear meaning, and even words
that have multiple, closely related, meanings often have different senses and
sub‑texts in different contexts. And, as similes for "dogma", every
one of several English or American dictionaries that I have consulted, gives
one or more of: "doctrine", "teaching", or
"tenet".
However,
that fails to pacify, or even give pause to, those who most rabidly buttress
their assertions of authority with selective quotes from the likes of
dictionaries. If facts, logic, or philology fail, one can always slap the
sacred text or the dictionary in appeal to the authority of the unanswerable.
Unfortunately
for their peace of mind however, the occasional unregenerate might prove to be
inconveniently literate.
There
is little comfort for the biblical fundamentalists in this respect, because the
word dogma does not appear in the English bible, and the word
"doctrine" is used in several senses, including the sense that I have
contemned as dogma; in the following verses the word "dogma" could
comfortably be substituted for "doctrine":
II John 1:9 - 11 Whosoever transgresseth, and abideth not in
the doctrine of Christ, hath not God. He that abideth in the doctrine of
Christ, he hath both the Father and the Son.
If there come any unto you, and bring not this doctrine, receive him not
into your house, neither bid him God speed:
For he that biddeth him God speed is partaker of his evil deeds.
So
I do not for an instant apologise for use of the term dogma in its general
sense, and in case anyone reads the term as pejorative, then I refuse to accept
any blame for readers' blood pressure: that is for them to take up with their
English and their religious hierarchies and the sensitivity of their own
physiology to their own prejudices.
Also,
as I point out later on, believers, comparative theologists, and the like,
might find the criterion too inclusive. They
might wish to distinguish religions from heresies, sects, cults, superstitions,
and so on. They might insist that if it is not based on virtuous assertion of
god, then it is not religion, even though various religions differ in their
concepts of god or gods or their nature or significance, let alone their
commandments. I also explain why such distinctions, however valid in other
contexts, are irrelevant to this essay and why I lump them all together into
the same category, without prejudice to whether they have anything else in
common, or even whether or not they are diametrical opposites in every other
respect (as is logically possible).
It is after all likely that the origin
of the very word "religion" ultimately stems from the Latin word religare: "to bind". And such an interpretation certainly would
fit the concept of commitment to the dogma.
Some religions prudently forbid that
their dogma be questioned or even so much as discussed; some might not even
permit their lay members to know the detail of the dogma, let alone study the
high secrets reserved for the priests. Other religions do permit some
questioning, as long as the answers unthreateningly leave the dogma intact, on
pain of charges of heresy, vanity, and even more heinous transgressions. Historically it sometimes has turned out to
be dangerous even to be too helpful in suggesting rational support for their dogma — simply to suggest that the
fundamental beliefs or sacred scriptures might be in need of such support would
in itself be heretical!
Strictly speaking of course, if two of
the faithful disagree on the words, or the intent of their godhead might be, that
would mean that the two have different religions; after all, if the dogma is
the product of an all‑powerful, all‑wise god, then every word, or letter, must
be as important as every other, so every variation must be a different faith,
commonly implying that the other will rot in hell as a blasphemer or apostate.
If your stomach is strong enough, you
might like to do some background reading on the history of religious conflict
concerning say, infra‑ versus supralapsarianism, or on transsubstantiation.
Such persons commonly would hate to
permit even the publication of rival views.
Caliph
Omar allegedly said of the books in the library of Alexandria: "If those books are in
agreement with the Quran,
we have no need of them; and if these are opposed to the Quran, destroy
them." The story is disputed by some scholars, and I do not stand bail for
it, but it certainly is consistent with many other events before and since and
elsewhere. I accept it here for the present as an illustration of a persistent
attitude. What certainly is true is that book burning on the grounds of religious prejudice has occurred at intervals
throughout history.
This was not limited to religion of
course — burning or other modes of destruction of books and other objects
of bigotry or political rivalries, have been popular modes of entertainment and
rabble‑rousing since prehistoric times, and still persists, at the behest of
dictators, fascists, authors such as Marxists,
and their followers.
My favourite quote from Freud
is: "What progress we are making. In the Middle Ages they would have
burned me. Now they are content with burning my books".
In comparison however, such forms of
dogmatic behaviour are directly opposed to scientific behaviour by the very
essence of the nature of science, as I expect should become obvious if you read
on.
A related obsession of many religious
bodies is hatred of the apostate, and
one can easily imagine how damaging it might be to the mental peace of the
faithful, to see how someone who had at one time been blessed with faith in the
dogma, could come to believe that after all it was worthless, untrue, or at the
least, that there were better and higher things in this world or the next, if
any. Throughout the history of humanity the rage of the faithful in such
religions has led them to revile, persecute, or murder anyone who came to
believe that their initial faith had been misplaced.
Don't take my word for it — read your headlines, look about you, think of
the threats and attempts on the lives, welfare, and rights of persons who have
suffered, say because they:
·
have
had the courage to voice their own views, or
·
have
claimed their rights to independence of views foisted on them
·
have
been gulled into accepting dogma, and afterwards rejected it
·
have
been born in such a community and willy‑nilly dragooned into the faith
·
have
had roles forced on them as slaves or sexual chattels
·
have
been forced into roles or status based on social, historical or ethnic criteria
There are plenty where that list came
from!
In many religions lately, secular
restlessness has led to increased flexibility of interpretation of dogma, but
that is a detail of circumstance, not a refutation of the principle of founding
a religion on a body of prescribed belief. Conversely, many a faith has
increased its dogma and discipline to hysterical levels of intensity in the
face of public debate, rival political views, or disagreement.
Some people have instanced Boko_Haram, ISIS, People's Temple, and Project
2025 during Trump's presidency in the US as salutary examples.
Historically, dogma originally has been
formulated arbitrarily and ad hoc by
ignorant persons, and for ignorant
persons, and elaborated or rationalised by other ignorant persons: it
accordingly tends to be rife with absurdity, fossil topicality, wishful
thinking, and progressive irrationality. It therefore is a frequent tactic in
religions, to represent unquestioning faith
as a positive virtue.
Faith — which I define as
unquestioning belief in dogma, or at least unquestioning acceptance,
irrespective of logical or factual justification or absurdity — faith is
what such religion commonly demands and exalts.
In such faith the worshipper explicitly or implicitly renounces his
reason in embracing absurdity or even meaninglessness, and represents the
renunciation as a virtue, and represents any reservations on the creed as
sinful at best, heathen typically, and evil always.
The claims I make here might seem
unlikely, as though I were inventing damaging evidence as a polemical trick,
but no, there actually are extant religious writings by Christian believers
mourning the fact that the dogma did not demand the belief in more
impossibilities. For all I know, similar
statements may have been made by fundamentalists in other religions as well. According to such persons, faith is a poor
thing if it is based on whatever anyone could see is true; real faith, worthwhile faith,
is belief in the face of whatever anyone could throw at the believer, even
facts or logic. The seventeenth century
genius, Sir Thomas Browne, satirised such views in his Religio
Medici, as quoted in the epigraph on this section. His work is available
online, and well worth a read even today. How truly religious he was in
private, I cannot say, but he certainly asserted that he was.
For all I know, some religions might
have a dogma denying that they have dogma, but this essay is not based on
whether they accept or reject the idea that they might have dogma or not, or
whether the tenets that define their beliefs should be called dogma or not,
only whether they have certain items of belief that they assert
unconditionally, without which they refuse to accept that a person is in good
faith a member of their belief.
So don't think it was my idea or that I
am misrepresenting anyone. Mind you, I must emphasise that I do not claim that
this attitude is in the majority. I have
no idea how frequent it is, nor how strongly it affects the typical day‑to‑day
thinking of such people — or anyone else.
Note that I state that dogma is the
essential component of religion; I do not insist as a logical requirement that
everything that asserts dogma must be a formal, ecclesiastical religion.
Electing to do so would be a defensible position, but not essential. Dogma
certainly is frequent in dictatorships of all kinds, for the good and simple
reason that the dictator depends on dogma, and cannot personally bully every
subject every minute of every day. Dogma is the simplest substitute for such
personal domination. Furthermore, there is no clear distinction between what we
might call the ecclesiastical and the temporal attitudes in everyday life and
politics. If you wish to distinguish them taxonomically, go ahead: taxonomy
always has elements of arbitrariness, and one learns to live with those
elements as appropriate.
As an example of secular dogmatism in
despite of available facts, Hitler's
rule was more vivid than most, though a study of such pathologies in various
oppressive regimes throughout history, ranging in modern times from soccer
hooligans to national dictatorships, could fill an entire category of
historical studies. Consider one small extract from the 1949 — 1950 book
by Franz
Halder: "Hitler
as War Lord".
. . . Hitler stiffened in his opinion that the
Russians were ‘dead’. In angry words he daily accused the General Staff of
lacking ‘guts’, even of cowardice masquerading as prudence. He ridiculed the
reports, now coming in almost every day from reconnaissance and wireless
interception, of the continual appearance of new Russian divisions, saying that
only completely naive and simple‑minded theoreticians would let themselves be
taken in by this clumsy swindle of Stalin.
When he was read a statement compiled
from unimpeachable sources which showed that in 1942 Stalin would still be able
to muster another one to one‑and‑a‑quarter‑million men in the region north of Stalingrad and west of the Volga and at least half a million more in the eastern
Caucasus and the region to its north, and which proved moreover that the Russian
output of first line tanks amounted to at least 1,200 a month, Hitler flew with
clenched fists and foam in the corners of his mouth, at the one who was reading
this statement, and forbade such idiotic twaddle.
That is just a sample: it is so
consistent with many other reports, both of Hitler and of other dictators
deluded by their own preconceptions throughout ancient and modern history, as
not to be worth following up: too commonplace to justify the trouble. They
could hardly all be independent
fabrications.
The reason that I presented the text at
all, is because the behaviour that it described is eloquent of the
arbitrariness and wishful thinking that underlies authoritarian dogma in
general: the violence of the rage against reality or logic, seems almost to be
an index of how unanswerable the objections may be. This is characteristic of
prescriptive authorities, whether ecclesiastic or secular.
Accordingly, though I do not insist on
calling all such things religion, I feel comfortable in regarding any such
thoughts and deeds as at least being decidedly the opposite of scientific, no
matter who harbours or perpetrates them.
It
is a good morning exercise for a research scientist to discard
a
pet hypothesis every day before breakfast.
It
keeps him young.
Konrad Lorenz
That
which can be destroyed by the truth, should be.
P. C. Hodgell
At some time people thought
that the potential that people had was not developed
because
everyone was ignorant and that education was the solution to the problem,
that
if all people were educated, we could perhaps all be Voltaires.
But
it turns out that falsehood and evil can be taught as easily as good.
Richard
Feynman
Dogma may take stronger or weaker
forms:
Strong forms of dogma say, more or
less: This creed is what you believe, no
matter what any fancied reason or evidence might show to the contrary, and no
matter whether you understand its details or not; if you are too stupid to
understand it, don't let that worry you: just keep reciting the slogans,
shouting, if necessary and attacking dissenters. (The less secure the religion, the
stronger the dogma, and the more probably it will add codicils to the effect
that even your questioning is evil, and prescribe in its compassion, a
therapeutic grilling at stake, or stoning, plus eternal damnation for the good
of your soul.)
Weaker forms of dogma will typically
say (also more or less): Here is the body of what we believe. Such and such an absurd detail of our creed
is patently mythical. It either is
included to test our faith, or is a parable that remains true in spirit, when
subjected to appropriate hermeneutics. As
long you still don’t understand, you need instruction, till you admit that you understand,
or at least till you do not doubt the dogma, whether you understand it or not,
and you accept that you are the one in error.
Weaker forms of dogmatism used to be
much rarer than they are nowadays, simply because weak dogmatism simply was
unnecessary in the old days. Their
modern incursion has arisen largely from the increasing need for once
impregnable theocracies to incorporate sufficient flexibility to weather the
prevailing climate of rationalism and functional literacy. Compromises, such as
those intrinsic to the weaker forms of dogmatism, remain commoner and more
troublesome than theocracies wish; anything less than absolute abjection of the
faithful worries the authorities, and aggravates the murderous rage of the
least secure among them.
More sophisticated versions of the
weaker forms of dogmatism take orms much like this: "This non‑parsimonious,
non‑Occamist
doctrinal material is presumably unfalsifiable. It is the substance in which
you must believe if you wish to count yourself as one of our belief, but if,
against all reasonable expectation, you find really compelling evidence against
it, then very well, we shall adjust our view accordingly". (An example, I understand, is the Buddhist
belief in any doctrine, even reincarnation.)
In
all science, error precedes the truth, and it is better it should go first than
last.
(Variously attributed to Horace or Hugh Walpole, without source, but too good
to omit)
On
two occasions I have been asked, 'Pray, Mr. Babbage, if you put into the
machine
wrong figures, will the right answers come out?'
I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas
that could provoke such a question.
Charles Babbage
If
a body of belief has nothing corresponding to dogma in any such form, it is
hard to know how to call it a religion, except that many religions, or at least
schisms, are too incoherent to define any clear body of dogma at all. Such religions may amount in effect to
politics or con games, but sincere members do insist that great truths underlie
their belief, and that rivals are mistaken or evil. The more pernicious examples include a few of
the grosser evangelical scams and movements like the People's Temple of Jim
Jones or Scientology,
not to mention the bible‑waving of biblical illiterates like Donald Trump.
Others are blander, tailing off into tea parties for the rich and inept.
Commonly
religions need not be based on reality; ill-defined, inaccurate, or even
meaningless, assumptions will do, as long as they sound authoritative. To question them then is represented as being
irreverent. That is very provident on the part of the apologist; consider the
exchange at: Evil's
existence
Religions
typically are not fully abstract: they incorporate specific imperatives, such
as worship. They may be more or less good, or evil, or simply incoherent, but
their goodness or otherwise is not what defines them as religions: by the
criterion of dogma, Satanism and dogmatic atheism intrinsically are classes of
religion as definite as Judeo‑Christian‑Muslim‑Hindu‑etc faiths. (Any particular version of agnosticism
may be a religion, or may not, specifically insofar as it entails dogma.)
As
formal ideals, dogmata defining any religion as a body have little to do with
the private beliefs of individual members (which, to the extent that they
conflict with the established formal dogma are by definition heresies) or with
their personal behaviour (sins) or their sociology and politics outside the
commandments or routine practice of the religion. In most religions only a small minority of
the members have the slightest grasp of the dogma that they theoretically
espouse, or even realise that there is such a dogma, or even know what a dogma
is or what its significance might be. Many
do not even explicitly realise that there is such a thing as a body of belief,
such as one might learn in a catechism.
In
fairness, not to present the position of science too smugly, only a minority of
practising scientists could coherently discuss philosophy of science, and only
a minority of those can do so cogently, much less state any items of basic
behavioural principles. Many of the rest simply consider philosophy of science
to be so much hot air, fit only for obsessive academics and for superannuated
scientists who are past their best, and no longer fit for research. The abjurers speak of the
"philosopause". How much this
actually is of practical importance in either case is debatable.
Even
Richard
Feynman, whom I admire greatly, and whose death I lament, notoriously said
something like: "philosophy of
science is as useful to scientists as ornithology is to birds", and
yet his own writings were full of aphorisms that implicitly amounted to
philosophy of science, some of them valuably, such as:
Science
is the belief in the ignorance of experts.
and, one of his best:
It
is necessary for the very existence of science
that minds exist which do not allow that
nature must satisfy some preconceived conditions.
But
however we look at it, the fact is that neither deviant belief nor deviant
behaviour in individual adherents is a general criterion for distinguishing science
from religion.
Notice
that it does not follow that every opinion in a given religion need be dogma.
In fact, in most religions it is likely that most statements are not dogma, no
matter how dogmatically they might be presented; they may deal with everyday
concerns and be open to debate, interpretation, and adjustment.
For
instance, one might, but need not, include in one's dogma or its immediate
implications, the rules for how and when to clean one's teeth, or on what parts
of the body to shave one's hair, or what to wear on one’s head, or the question
of whether penguins or bats are birds, or whether elephants can jump, or
whether mountains might come when called.
(All of these are actual examples, and not of my own invention; there
are limits to my morbid creativity!)
It
is in fact well known that religious people, often actual religious
functionaries such as priests, sometimes do good scientific work — one
even might debate whether most of material scientific progress historically has
been made by believers. After all, throughout most of history, most research
and discovery was carried out, either by believers in ages when education did
not encourage free thought, or most people professed to be believers because it
certainly was the safer and more socially acceptable option.
This
is characteristic of most periods in which dogmatic bodies hold social and
legal power. I cannot offhand remember any freethinking community in which
equally stringent persecution in the opposite direction was the rule.
Be
that as it may, it is clear that not even one's opinions in secular matters are
of much use in distinguishing religion from science.
None
of this affects the main point: that there is in each religion a core of dogma,
and that anything conflicting with that dogma may (must logically?) be defined
as heresy. In principle that means that
insofar as it is heresy, it is unacceptable unless apologists can rationalise
it by arguing that there was not in essence any conflict. For instance, during a reformation religious
authorities might decide, commonly have decided, that the traditional view
actually had been a misinterpretation of the dogma. Such arguments have cropped up repeatedly in
the history of the major religions, either locally or at the highest levels of
authority.
They
are the basis of what is known as "the god of the gaps".
Commonly,
tolerant religion clashes as little with science as with any other day‑to‑day
matters of reality. In fact fairly many scientists, including some evolutionists,
are actively religious. Some reconcile
their beliefs with their science, but others live mental double lives,
believing their science with one part of their minds and their religion with
the other. They rationalise or even radically divorce their conception of their
work from their faith. Presumably most
do it largely unconsciously, but I have met research workers (usually
biologists but by no means always, which is understandable since I am a
biologist myself) who unapologetically believed one thing in their laboratories
and another thing in church.
Mind
you, some so‑called scientists who would be deeply offended at my saying so, have only the vaguest concepts of anything
like a defensible philosophy of science, even if they do acceptable work in
research on scientific questions. One category of this attitude is that of some
QM theorists with their: "shut up and calculate!"
Too
bad. I offer no apologies!
For my part I do not understand any
such intellectual process, but it is not for me to tell anyone to change the
beliefs on which he founds his mental or social peace. A religious attitude seldom makes much difference
to how one practices one’s scientific activities; most scientists worry about
as much about the philosophy of science as it affects their work, as most
carpenters worry about the xylem cells that make up their wood. Still, the history of science is rife with
examples of workers who insisted that the result of every scientific
investigation must support their personal religious or political dogma.
One way or another, that core of dogma
is what lies at the heart of anything we can reasonably call a religion.
One of the most amusing quotes from the
New Testament is:
What? came the
word of God out from you? or came it unto you only?
1 Corinthians 14:36
In context it should logically apply
equally strongly to the whole book, and to all other sacred texts as well,
Christian or not. And such criticisms of inconsistent standards are rife in
religions. Consider how Jesus at first, reasonably referred his followers to
put sources to the test, but then rebuked Thomas for putting the body of Jesus
to the test.
Beware
of false prophets, which come to you in sheep's clothing, but inwardly they are
ravening wolves. Ye shall know them by
their fruits. Do men gather grapes of thorns, or figs of thistles? Even so every good tree bringeth forth good
fruit; but a corrupt tree bringeth forth evil fruit. A good tree cannot bring
forth evil fruit, neither can a corrupt tree bring forth good fruit. Every tree that bringeth not forth good fruit
is hewn down, and cast into the fire. Wherefore by their fruits ye shall know
them.
Matthew
7:15 to 7:20
Which is so reasonable that the most captious sceptic
could hardly object.
And yet in John 20:29:
Jesus
saith unto him, Thomas, because thou hast seen me, thou hast believed:
blessed
are they that have not seen, and yet have believed
One rule of Jesus for the prophets, but
another rule for Jesus himself?
Scientific practice is different.
The first
principle is that you must not fool yourself —
and you are the easiest person to fool.
So you have to be very careful about that.
Richard Feynman
Nullius
in verba
Knowledge
is growing and changing, the world is large and Man is small,
and except in matters of faith, there is no pope.
Anon
Scientific American 1964
So
much for religion.
And
science? Is science dogma free? Really?
Could anyone cogently support such a claim? And if so, how?
Dogma
may seem to you like a very strange, small difference to pick on; in fact, the
proponents of that travesty that its proponents call “creation science” have
claimed that science is itself a religion.
They assert that science places its faith in observation, in Occam’s
Razor (the principle of parsimony and elegance) and in scientific method;
it has its own wars and splits and dogma and accordingly has no special merit
compared to religions.
And
yet these are not points of dogma in
science, not at all at all. . .
Science
in the sense that we are discussing, differs from religion in that, far from
relying on dogma, or even recognising it as a basis for justification of
action, science intrinsically has no
conceptual scope at all for ideological dogma. Science does not even deny dogma, any more than religion denies noise.
(Nor
of course does science deny "noise"; in fact, unlike most religious
adherents, practically anyone practising in a scientific discipline needs to
understand noise very well! Purely for examples, consult these
discussions:
Theory
and observation , Static
, and Noise
Science
in essence is a range of processes
for finding and using information for
constructing, identifying, urging, or selecting, the strongest candidate hypotheses to answer any manageably meaningful question.
No
appeal to dogma, in fact, no appeal to any assertion at all, whether empirical
or philosophical, transient or eternal, has cogency
in science, because the only means available for convincing persons who
refuse to accept your arguments, is by letting them convince themselves in the
light of available evidence, including any evidence that they unearth for
themselves.
And
conversely, your adversaries' options for convincing you of their views, are
equally constrained in turn.
It
follows that no statement is sacred in this essay for example. Anyone might take issue with any point. By
replacing enough of the principles I assert, the concept of science could
indeed be modified or even destroyed outright.
Certainly
you would have to convince the scientific community first. Convincing them is
the essence of scientific progress.
In science there is no pope.
That
assertion itself is not dogma, it simply is failure to imagine a
role, let alone a function, for any such a papal entity. What form would a pope
take in science, and what could anything like a pope be expected to do? What
form would dogma take in science, and what would any rational practitioner in
science do with such a dogma?
Paradoxically,
if you think you can make out a strong enough case to support your denial that
science is popeless rather than hopeless, then feel welcome to do so; just do
not demand that anyone in particular should take you seriously. And if anyone
did take you seriously, that need not yet mean that anyone else must take
either of you seriously.
That is not how science works.
And
science works very well compared to absolutely any other discipline in human
history — certainly compared to any religion. Ask any doctor, engineer,
soldier, or technologist. For that matter, ask yourself, or any religious
apologist, as you fly in a jet airliner less than two centuries after sailing
ships still were as much the dominant means of crossing the waters, as they had
been for millennia.
It
is magic,
you know. The divine winged sandals that Hermes lent Perseus, bore him each day
a seven days journey. At that rate
Perseus couldn't even have kept up with a modern cheap car driven by the
proverbial little old lady on the way to church, let alone a pre‑World‑War‑II
airliner.
Remember
Clarke's third law:
Any sufficiently advanced technology is
indistinguishable from magic.
And
you know what the Abrahamic faiths said about magic:
Thou
shalt not suffer a witch to live.
A
comforting thought. . .
And
a curious rationalisation. . .
Meanwhile
of course, if your arguments are not in themselves convincing, let alone
correct, that is a separate problem. Nothing in science promises that your
beliefs are correct or even meaningful, and whether they are or not, there is
no guarantee that they will convince anyone soon or at all, and nothing in
science demands that anyone be interested in listening to you, or having once
believed you, should continue to believe.
It
is not that scientists loathe or love dogma, that dogma is evil or stupid, or
even that particular dogmatic or scientific propositions are true or false, but
that in the process of convincing someone who will only accept arguments that
he can understand and confirm for himself, dogma as such has no meaningful role.
Granted,
in scientific controversy, appeal to authority, or even to the mob, often may
be tempting
(Thus spake Maxwell! Ipse dixit Al
Kwarizmi. Also sprach Einstein. My professor said. . .)
but such appeal constitutes no more than an argument of convenience, a
substitute for time‑consuming exploration of probably unrewarding avenues.
After
all, life and education impose practical constraints: we cannot delay Biblical
Hermeneutics 101 while each student personally decides whether to accept the
book of Job as literally true or as allegorical, or downright poetical, as
required by the associated curriculum, any more than we can delay Biology 101
while each student personally verifies every individual assertion presented in
class, concerning cells and their structures, or symbiosis in ecology, or
thousands of other topics.
But
conversely, the appeal to authority might be used in bad faith to intimidate
those whose critical faculties are not up to scratch. Right?
True.
Science
and scientific standards of conduct, can no more guarantee universal good faith
or understanding or knowledge, than religion can guarantee universal good
faith; and that is saying a great deal: it is well known that many a sworn
witness, irrespective of faith, will perjure himself in court. Bertrand Russell
put it succinctly thus:
One is often told that it is a very
wrong thing to attack religion,
because religion makes men virtuous.
So I am told; I have not noticed it.
I
think he had a point. Certainly in recent decades a lot of evidence of abuses
among religious authorities, or even abuses in the name of religious principles
and communities, should give any thinking, responsible member of any given
faith grounds for choice between faith and thought.
And
this is no novelty. Not to pick on any particular faith, but reading through
the recorded history of the deeds and pronouncements of the popes, should shock
any humanist. Why focus on the popes especially, you ask? Because they are so
well documented, and had such profound, sustained, and widespread political
influence.
Don't
take my word for it; look up a few, the more the muddier; start with Pope_John_XII, Pope_Benedict_IX , or
perhaps Pope_Alexander_VI
If
you don't like those, as unfair examples, work through all the popes listed in
Wikipedia (it is easy because they are listed in sequence by predecessors and
successors).
And
the only reason I picked on the Catholics is not because I think they are the
worst, but because they are the most conveniently listed.
Other,
smaller bodies often are no less pernicious on their own scale and in their own
ways. Consider the likes of Jim Jones, the Waco siege, the Heaven's Gate suicide, and
many more.
And
as for socially parasitic TV evangelists. . .
In
religion, to reject the revelations of the charismatic or the authority of the
ancients often is criticised as a sin of
pride. Historically the punishment
has ranged from grilling by your spiritual counsellor, to grilling at stake.
In
science the sin of pride (and futility) is to demand that others shall not differ
with your pronouncements and wisdom.
In
science there also is a matching sin of
humility: forbearing to differ when your insights or evidence suggest a
flaw in the received wisdom of authority.
The punishment in either case is likely to include painful levels of
cognitive dissonance.
In
particular, although hardly anyone routinely devotes all his time and resources
to systematically opposing received wisdom and established opinion, there is no
prescribed penalty for doing so. No
unexpected anti‑dogma police drag heretics off to the COMFY CHAIR. Anyone at
any time is in a position to ask in effect: "How does the establishment
position make more sense than alternatives proposed in the light of new
findings or new arguments, or for that matter, old work that has gone
unnoticed, or temporarily been forgotten or overlooked or now has been
reinterpreted?"
Granted,
withholding of grades, degrees, tenure, cooperation, honour, and lucre, or even
attention, are sometimes represented as being almost as effective, almost as
barbarous even, as religious persecution.
There certainly have been many ugly examples of such, and there have
been even uglier examples of so‑called scientists who have tried to stifle
views that conflicted with their political dogma, stifling them by authority,
or even by inciting public riots against speakers, not to mention sexism and
other abuses of parochialism.
Did
I hear someone muttering "Climategate"? Hmmm. . .
Still,
actual religious martyrs faced with physical torment and death, would be
unimpressed by the fate of our contemporary dissidents among scientists. Even Galileo and Urban VIII would probably
have snorted dismissively.
So:
in science the fact that a hypothesis is long‑established wisdom, is no reason
for pioneers or dissidents to refrain from criticising it and from refuting or
even replacing it if they can. (Have you
had any recent debates with supporters of phlogiston
theory for example?)
Conversely,
the newness of a proposal is no argument for establishment supporters to adopt
it. Cold fusion and quantum theory,
jumping genes and polywater, introns and N‑rays — each encountered
scepticism in its turn. From the point
of view of the fundamental principles of science their respective rejection or
acclaim had nothing to do with newness or authority.
The
point of view of individual scientists might be another matter, but the question
of whether the temperaments of particular workers happen to cause them to
prefer new ideas or old, has little significance in the long run. It is true that it may take time for people
to get used to an idea, mentally to integrate its attractions, its non‑cogencies
and its potential, but that is a reasonable consequence of the difficulties of
dealing with imperfect information on unfamiliar material. In itself, the novelty or originality of an
idea is neither a merit nor a demerit, however well or poorly it might reflect
on the originator.
Political
persecutions such as of Vavilov by Lysenko
have nothing to do with science, only
with politics, and in particular with a religious version of politics: in
this example, the Stalinist version or sect of Marxism, which is as pernicious
a religion as any. Nor does the incitement of mobs to shout down unwelcome
opinions or evidence that contradicts one’s dogma, have any scientific merit. It is said that fifty Nazi physicists once
collaborated on a book refuting the "Jewish science" of relativity. Einstein reputedly remarked that this was
totally needless; if his theory was wrong, a single scientist would have been
sufficient.
In
saying so, he vividly demonstrated a keen understanding of an essential aspect
of genuinely scientific behaviour.
Whether
to class the behaviour of the anti‑scientists as religious in any particular case,
is moot. This discussion is not much
concerned with discriminating between politics and religion, much less
discriminating between religions.
Science
(as incarnate in the body of scientists and scientific record) does not deny
spiritual planes or intelligence in the universe; it largely ignores them until
someone can show which phenomena to observe in order to obtain material upon
which one could found hypotheses or rationales in terms of relevant conceptual
structures.
If
you like, you could say that until we have some idea of how to talk about what
we think we are talking about, we are not talking science.
This
frequently is a difficulty with questions of the form: “Why. . . ” Such questions are very treacherous for the
naïve to deal with because they sound simple, but the word "why" is so deeply ambiguous that
discussions of such questions often are meaningless, and even more often are at
cross purposes. Some “why” questions are
outside the province of science because they have no demonstrable empirical
consequences. According to some points
of view they therefore are metaphysical. Certainly one needs to distinguish
between different meanings of the word, meanings that might include say:
causation or history; deduction or implication; justification of values or
opinions; rationale or motivation. Often it is simple temporisation ("Why,
so can I, or so can any man, but . . .")
Possibly
the main nontrivial example of such a question is “Why is there something
rather than nothing?” Some people think
it is the supreme question in science and philosophy. Some think it is simply stupid. Some claim that it is metaphysical. For my
part, I am not sure that it has yet been defined clearly enough to count as a
meaningful question, and until it does, it is not a question that can be taken
any further in any constructive formal or scientific investigation. For what my
opinion is worth, I suspect that for there to be nothing would involve a self‑contradiction,
but whether that suspicion is in itself meaningful, I cannot yet say;
conceivably it is a question that will resist emergence from abduction. . .
Still,
I begin to think that some questions in philosophy, quantum theory, and
cosmology are beginning to tickle the tail of that sleeping dragon, and in case
any reader is feverishly interested, I do discuss it in greater detail
elsewhere, such as here: Something
or nothing
Neither
science nor the philosophy of science is static, and accordingly some
meaningless questions of yesterday might be meaningful today.
None
of this has any more to do with Kuhnian paradigms and scientific sociology,
than the sins, heresies, and sociology of the faithful have to do with any
religion's fundamental dogma or philosophy.
Classes of techniques, procedures, disciplines, and conventions have
been developed for choosing between rival hypotheses in science, but again,
these do not define science any more than prayer in general defines religion
in general; they simply are the tools currently established locally.
Some
people might find it amusing to reflect that, while there is nothing stopping
anyone in a particular religion from formulating an immutable dogma concerning
science, at the same time, in contrast, any scientific hypothesis concerning
any aspect of any religion would be subject to the same forms of attack as any
other scientific question.
In
case anyone wonders what one's attitude could be called, who rejects religious
dogma and also rejects atheism and agnosticism in most of their senses as
discussed in this section, I have coined the term "irreligism", and I call myself,
not an atheist, but an "irreligist'.
The meaning is neither particularly one of belief or unbelief, but of rejection
of any form of dogma, not necessarily as true, false, or meaningless, but as not
being any valid kind of argument, nor as being otherwise binding.
Such
irreligism excludes any acceptance of any concept of religion, and in
particular religious dogmatism, as cogent, or even as being of intellectual
interest, whether it comes in the form of conventional or overt religion, or
less conventional variants such as satanism on the one hand, or unscientific
behaviour such as prescriptive atheism
or agnosticism on the other.
Irreligism is however, compatible with
most forms of scientific endeavour and rational humanism, as well as with
ethical or moral principles.
From the emotional point of view of
irreligism, I have no better assessment than the following conversation I saw
quoted:
"What is it like, not believing in
God?"
"Do you believe in Santa
Clause?"
"Of course not!"
"Well, that is what it feels like."
A
scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents
and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents
eventually die and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.
Max Planck
Das
is nicht nur nicht richtig, es ist nicht einmal falsch!
(That
is not just not right; it isn't even wrong!)
Wolfgang Pauli
One can’t proceed from the
informal to the formal by formal means.
Alan Perlis
(Nor can one proceed from the
formal to the informal by formal means)
Roughly
speaking, one could consider two classes of science in our context: formal and empiric (or if you prefer: analytic
and synthetic; no terminology
satisfies everyone, but then, the terminology is not the core of the question).
Formal
activities
are those based on defined sets of axioms and operations. Examples are branches of or topics in
mathematics, logic and, at least in some of its forms and applications,
philosophy. Formal assertions can be
criticised meaningfully only in terms of their consistency with the axioms and
operations on which they are based, which in turn can only be criticised in
terms of internal consistency (or para‑consistency), completeness, parsimony,
elegance, relevance, interest, and the like. To criticise them in terms of
their material factuality would not generally be meaningful; factuality is not what they are based on.
In
contrast, empirical or material science deals with some
aspects of the world we seem to see ourselves in, and so the axiomatic
structure of such science must be
compatible with empirical evidence. In
empirical science we therefore have no unconditional axioms about our world — we can do no more than propose
theories based on assumptions about our observations and the perceived behaviour
of the world.
Now,
for us to discuss anything about any entity, whether formal or material, if the
discussion is to be meaningful, the logical or conceptual form of the content
of the words or assertions must suitably
match the form of the subject matter. A term for such matching of forms, is
isomorphism. The term
"isomorphism" occurs in several disciplines, most notably in
mathematics, but it is applicable wherever
forms of entities match each other in some definable way or another, and in
particular, when the relevant form of an
assertion fails to match that of the
entity to which it refers, the isomorphism cannot be valid in all contexts.
However,
in our material universe, pure, abstract
isomorphism is something of an exception, and I have been increasingly
dissatisfied with one aspect of the application of the term
"isomorphism" in material science and technology: in the formal or
mathematical sense it is possible to speak of a definitive and precise
isomorphism, because the items being matched are finite in the terms of their
matching — say, the terms of an algebraic mapping. But in the matching between physical items (say,
between a photo and a landscape, or between a waxwork and a subject, or between
a bird and a bat) there always are indefinite numbers and degrees of
discrepancies. So, for the matching between four crystals of sodium
chloride, we could say that their
crystal forms were isomorphic, but some other attributes would not be.
In
contrast, given four sets of say, three numbers, each number in each set being
the number five, we could state that the cardinal number of each set is
perfectly isomorphic to that of each of the others.
It
does not follow that the correspondence of form in an imperfect isomorphism is
necessarily wrong or futile, but sometimes one needs to to distinguish between
perfect formal isomorphism between
abstractions, and "good‑enough" "physical
or empirical isomorphism", which
in my opinion generally cannot possibly be perfect. For that kind of imperfect,
but adequate mapping, I propose the term "plesiomorphism".
That
term appears in a few other fields, such as cladistics
and crystallography,
but those are independent of the sense in which I use it here, so I retain it.
It might be objected that it would be adequate to speak instead of
"approximate isomorphism", but not only is that cumbersome, it is
questionable use of the concept of "approximation".
"Plesiomorphism"
in this sense means something like: "matching form nearly enough in
context, to be useful in empirical or physical applications". I find the
concept useful for characterisation or quantification when a rough matching is
adequate and infinite precision is not practically attainable. For example, plesiomorphisms
between pixels on a screen, dots on paper, and mathematical points;
and there are plesiomorphisms between a screen and a sheet of paper or a
clay tablet.
There
is a comfortable plesiomorphism between a chalk line or a chalk drawing of an
equilateral triangle, and a Euclidean line or equilateral triangle, but the
chalk isn't even a line at all, so calling its relationship to a Euclidean line
an isomorphism is something of a convenient fiction. And sure enough, the
imperfections of Euclidean geometry as represented in physical drawings
sometimes lends itself to puzzling fallacies.
And
the role of plesiomorphism in material measurement, implication, or causality,
forces one to recognise invalid aspects of some classes of assumptions in the
application of formal disciplines to empirical topics. For example, in
plesiomorphic work, there is no such thing as an irrational number, or if you
prefer, there is no distinction between an irrational number and a sufficiently close rational number, nor
is there any difficulty in finding the diagonal of a unit square, nor, for that
matter, in the construction of any unit square at all.
For
practical purposes we generally assume such things as that:
-
the
world operates on principles consistent enough to permit us to generalise meaningfully, in particular
to generalise according to axioms in logic and mathematics, chosen according to
their being suitably isomorphic or plesiomorphic to the apparent behaviour of
the objects under study.
-
such
information as we can derive about the world from our sensory perceptions and other
instrumentation, forms a practical basis for a mental image. Such an image is a
model that has relevant and practical isomorphisms
or plesiomorphisms to some presumed underlying reality that has a
meaningful relationship to that which is apparent to us. Aspects of the nature
of the universe will be common to moles, bats, birds, whales, and humans. Such
an assortment of creatures might not agree on much; each might be unable even
to imagine some things that seem obvious to others, but they will agree with
concepts such as physical obstacles, aspects of gravity, and so on.
-
for
practical purposes the theory of probability may be assumed to be isomorphic or
plesiomorphic to relevant behaviour of entities in the perceived universe,
particularly according to the limits on the availability
and reality of information,
and the ubiquity of noise. This is the basis of concepts of randomness, and the
ubiquitous applicability of statistics as a practical and philosophical tool in
science, for example. In particular statistics is fundamental to dealing with
imperfect information — and for practical purposes all material information is finite, and hence imperfect.
The
foregoing plesiomorphisms are just a few examples, but the principles are
important. If we cannot rely on something of that kind, it is hard to know how
we are even to attempt to discover anything about the world with any confidence
of anything like success. At the same time, such assumptions still amount to no
more than working hypotheses. Anyone is
free at any time to present arguments for thinking we are wrong, or at least
that the assumptions are not logically justified. Conversely no one is constrained to be
interested in those arguments.
The
history of science presents many examples of assumptions and conclusions that
were taken to be literally and materially incontestable, and were the basis for
decades or centuries of work, and subsequently not only proved to be wrong, but
not even coherent or meaningful.
As
David Lange, warned his biology students:
"Half
of what you learned in college is wrong;
problem is,
we don’t know which half".
In
fact, in any sizeable community of philosophers of science, you can be sure of
a lot of heated dissent even on such basic points, let alone questions of:
·
which
points should be included in such a list
·
their
relative importance,
·
how
they should be worded;
·
what
they imply for the meaningfulness of science
or
·
what
form meaning in science might take at all.
In
short, those assumptions are about as far from dogma as one can get; assumptions are not even axioms except to particular workers who choose to
define them as such. And such a worker
would be getting pretty close to religion, please note! Commonly such a
definition is flawed.
I
discuss such considerations elsewhere in essays at:
Hilberts
sixth problem
and
No
point is real
And
notice that Occam’s Razor is not one of the basic practical assumptions. It certainly is enormously useful as a rule
of thumb and only a fool would fail to test his ideas against Occam, but the
principle is no more than a convenient tool, a basis for principles of elegance
of theory and parsimony of things assumed, it is no proof of validity.
What
we consider here is mainly about empirical
science — formal disciplines have little to do with belief: one can
construct as many independent formal axiomatic structures as one likes, and
construct them to be compatible with practically any coherent belief one likes,
or with none at all. These structures
would not differ in "correctness" but only in their interest or
usefulness and applicability.
A
whole field of practical and conceptual relevance opens out in fields of study
and application in our current modes of thought. Readers might consider
starting their study of one aspect with the following link to the article
"Why black box machine learning should be avoided for high‑stakes decisions":
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43586-022-00172-0
In
spite of the popularity of the phrase: "scientific proof", empirical
science has little to do with formal proof.
Because
of their inherent uncertainties and assumptions
in terms of underdetermination, as Duhem and Quine variously pointed
out, observations cannot formally
prove anything — that is because they can hardly ever be formally isomorphic to the subject
entity — but they do permit us to compare
the defensibility of rival hypotheses that plesiomorphically imply observable
phenomena.
Observations
that constitute confirming instances of predictions, can be used as a basis for
establishing working hypotheses: a
weak form of support that can be assessed in terms of statistical theory, for
example, the currently most popular example of such a confirming instance is
called falsification.
When
the prediction of a hypothesis X fails, then this is taken as confirmation of the
converse hypothesis:not‑X.
Naïve
practitioners have been known to regard such falsification as “disproving” X,
i.e. “proving” not‑X, but such fatuity has nothing to do with science as such.
Having "falsified" hypothesis X, we have done no more than to
establish that in terms of our (well‑designed, well‑executed) experiment, some
version of not‑X becomes a stronger hypothesis than X — given that no more
persuasive evidence is forthcoming from other, independent research or
explanation.
For
example, both X and therefore also not‑X might turn out to be meaningless — being based on
radical misconceptions.
This
is all on the assumption that the hypothesis has been suitably expressed for
the procedure to be meaningful: and that commonly is an irresponsible
assumption; the design of experiments is a treacherous field — it is
subject to the venerable principle of GIGO:
garbage in, garbage out.
An
important problem in testing any new
hypothesis is that it can only be tested on the basis of other assumptions. It is a tricky business to test
a combination of more than one hypothesis at a time, so we commonly go to great
lengths to test just one variable, making the assumption that all other
circumstances are held constant according to already established facts: known
truths or givens. That is what we
call a controlled experiment. More
sophisticated approaches may be necessary when several variables occur in the
same study.
The
best‑known approaches use Latin Squares, or even Mutually orthogonal Latin squares. A
more sophisticated approach is that of Taguchi methods: these all are
discussed in various contexts in Wikipedia. I also commend serious workers to
read the book: "The_Book_of_Why"
by Judea
Pearl and Dana
Mackenzie.
No
matter how sophisticated the experimental design however, the problem that
remains is that the assumptions about already established facts amount to extra
hypotheses. If we were wrong about any of them and our experiment yields
results that contradict our predictions as dictated by our new hypothesis, then
our conclusion that the new hypothesis is incorrect is unsound, even
meaningless, and if our predictions were in fact borne out, then our acceptance
of the new hypothesis as a working hypothesis in turn would be unsound.
We
would have fallen victim to our trust in our black box.
If
we concluded that we had in fact been victim to such errors, then we would say
that our experimental setup is underdetermined, meaning that there could reasonably be more
than one interpretation of the results, including that our proposed
interpretation could be meaningless rather than wrong, as Pauli remarked in
another connection.
This
class of limitation on our ability to determine our experimental controls and
the hypotheses that we test in any experimental programme, is in line with what
I have mentioned as the Duhem–Quine thesis.
Readers unfamiliar with the field might find it helpful to read about underdetermination in Wikipedia, or in
the Stanford article on Underdetermination
of Scientific Theory.
But,
you might object, how is it possible that one could be mistaken in one's known truths, one's predetermined facts?
It
is possible.
It
happens.
For
example, in the past predetermined facts included: flat
Earth; planetary
epicycles; phlogiston; spiral "nebulae" being inside our galaxy;
relative speed of light being affected by its path through the ether; the upper
bound on the age of the Earth and sun on the assumption of Newtonian
physics; the possibility of determining both the momentum and coordinates of a
body to arbitrary precision; the impossibility of interconverting matter and
energy . . .
All
such and more were based on predetermined facts, ideas taken as givens in their
own places and times, natural assumptions on which we based our controls in our
scientific research, often unconsciously.
For
such reasons, even modern scientific practice, no matter how advanced, produces
a great deal of wasted research and outright error. For much of such work, the fundamental reason
that it is a waste, is that it is based on misconceptions or misformulations,
and yet, even peer‑reviewed publications may report favourably on just such
research. Having missed the hidden
conceptual flaw or error, the researcher may perform the rest of the work coherently and competently, but of course
futilely.
In
a popular idiom, such work is built on sand, ill‑founded.
If
the subsequent research work is indeed coherent and competent, it may be very
difficult for a reviewer to spot the flaw; or if he does spot it, it may be
difficult to justify his view that the paper, irrespective of coherence
and competence, nonetheless is ill‑founded.
A major source of such disasters is not poor work or poor thinking, so
much as experiments based on reasonable, but erroneous, preconceptions, or
poorly constructed or inapplicable questions.
As a rule, even flawless work on meaningless questions produces
meaningless answers, and preconceptions often mask or rationalise the treachery
of that meaninglessness.
GIGO . . .
Whether
empirical experiments have been well designed or not, if the observations are
too poorly consistent with the predictions, we must discard the hypothesis,
modify it, or try again with a totally new hypothesis.
We
never formally prove it.
We
never forbid anyone to doubt our work
or to re‑test the hypothesis or to propose alternatives or extensions.
We
never demand that anyone accept a
hypothesis.
In
empirical science the closest we come to proving a hypothesis is by presenting
evidence so strong that to deny it, one would have to be perversely
unreasonable.
Of
course, we do not generally stop our work and wait until everyone agrees that
we have shown that which we set out to do.
After
all, by that time, our work has convinced ourselves, at least conditionally,
and there will be more work to do while discussion proceeds. Such discussion
may continue for generations. And when it is resolved, that resolution commonly
does not occur within the discipline, but unexpectedly as an outcome in a
different field: an outcome that invalidates key assumptions in the disputed
field.
The
other side of the coin is that, when anyone else proposes a hypothesis, we in
turn reserve our acceptance until we have convinced ourselves of its merits. And of course if we do accept it our
commitment to the new hypothesis (whether our own or anyone else’s) is
fundamentally temporary. It lasts only
until we are sufficiently convinced that yet another hypothesis is superior.
In
most religions as opposed to branches of science, such behaviour
would be apostasy, and as such, traitorous.
In some quite major religions or sects, apostasy still is punishable by
death. In science such apostasy is
no more than common sense, and to stick to a hypothesis in the face of the
balance of the evidence is regarded as mental ossification, the weakness of an
old fogy (or much worse still, a young fogy).
Nor
is our acceptance any guarantee of correctness, not even temporarily and certainly not permanently.
It
does not matter whether this is necessarily because "we" as
"scientists" are so virtuous, so liberal minded, that we would never dream of imposing our diffident
opinions, or because we just have too much good sense. The reality is that if we did try to impose our views it would
have little effect, particularly in the long term. That simply is how the process works. It depends on conviction, not imposition.
Conviction
by fashion, compulsion, peer pressure, authority or even riot, certainly has
worked very frequently and widely in history and in contemporary education,
religion, business, and politics. Science
and scientists, being human, are not immune to such influences. Anyone who has never seen a senior who
refuses to let a junior publish embarrassing or unwelcome evidence, cannot have
been in the field for very long.
And
in the history of science and technology there are major examples of
discoveries and developments that were withheld for long periods, sometimes
till rivals scooped them, or until serious consequences resulted. A famous
example was that Darwin
withheld his own publication of his theory of the Origin of Species, until
Wallace's enquiry forced his hand.
Again,
sometimes recognition of major advances was delayed till after the discoverer's
death. For example, Mendelian genetics, one of the earth‑shaking discoveries in
biology, was rediscovered after the death of Mendel; it had hardly been known,
let alone taken seriously, until about forty years after his work, and about
twenty years after his death.
It
happens; look around you — watch the news, both general news and
developments in technical fields.
But
still, as conviction of the guilty goes, the influence of compulsion or
crookery in scientific work or in the associated politics tend to be
exceptional and transient. Within a
century, or within a professional lifetime, perhaps within months, succeeding
work will expose any such publication to scorn.
Brash young students will sniff at the very idea that anyone could have
been stupid enough to fall for such rubbish.
Simplistically
retailed history, including history of science, generates either simplistic
adulation or simplistic disdain. One is
tempted to despair. . .
Unfortunately,
work presented in bad faith, though it has no long‑term effect on the body of
science, has led to the ruin of many a promising career, often the career of
the whistleblower. We have seen several
tragic and immoral examples in the past few decades.
We
shall see more as they arise. The situation is intrinsic to the nature of
humanity so far, and is likely to continue for a while yet. I expect it to get
worse before it mends.
Interestingly,
it seems to me that there have been far more cases of good faith retractions of
work lately, sometimes very prominent work, that turned out to be in error or
at least unrepeatable, and the reaction of the scientific community has
generally been muted, even sympathetic. It
is a sad reflection on the effects of ambition, greed, malice or vanity, that
bad‑faith parasites can corrupt such a beneficial system.
Be
that as it may. . .
It
does not follow that because a hypothesis is untestable by any observation
accessible to me, it therefore is not investigable and falsifiable by any other
subset of the scientific community, perhaps even by just a single member. Members of any subset, however right or wrong
their hypotheses might be, may be perfectly scientific in their work. Nothing in the nature of science guarantees
that every proposition that is meaningful to one worker, in terms of
falsifiability or induction, must be equally meaningful to every other worker. There might be differences in skills, in
equipment, in resources, in chance observations. There might be differences even in personal
senses or aptitudes, such as perception of harmony, taste, or colour.
How
is one to react to a scientific claim that one is not in a position to test
personally? Is every such claim
meaningless by definition to everyone but the observer in person?
Not
necessarily. It depends on our personal
world view and intellectual taste, how high a level of confidence we demand
before we are willing accept a given assertion as a working hypothesis. The principles of science neither demand that
we believe, nor that we disbelieve. The
world is too large for everyone to investigate all of it personally in detail,
or even to acquire the necessary skills to do so. In discriminating between rival hypotheses,
we need not consider only formal falsifiability by personal experiment; it is
reasonable, and in practice it also is necessary, to give appropriate weight to
weaker evidence, such as, in no special order:
-
a
claim's consistency with our experience, reasoning, and opinions
-
the
word of other observers
-
the
opinions of persons according to how we respect their skills
-
a
claim's consistency with coherent and logical bodies of theory
-
criteria other
than direct evidence, such as parsimony and explanatory richness.
None
of these is proof either, but they are useful in practice and historically they
have been of enormous power and value.
Weak
or indirect evidence still is evidence —
evidence is everything that has weight in
rationally influencing one's choice of particular hypotheses as being the
most persuasive that currently is accessible to us.
Strong
evidence carries the most weight; weaker evidence carries correspondingly less.
There
is no general, cogent basis for assessing the weight to assign to any item of
evidence; its strength keeps changing
according to context and relevance, and in any case according to one's
appraisal of context and weight: all such necessarily are to some extent
arbitrary and personal.
Except
in religion, or at least religious, dogmatic, behaviour, there is theoretically
no such thing as absolute evidence, only a range of cogency that extends from, at
one extreme, interesting speculation, to the opposite extreme: precise, repeated,
independent observation, practical, predictable, quantitative, and explicable.
Similarly,
I reject with contempt the cliché that "the plural of anecdote is not data". That may be true as a
trivial point in philology, but it is not science; often anecdote is all we
have; and in the real world the scientist makes such bricks as he may with such
straw as he may.
Certainly
anecdote is not formal proof, but it
is evidence, evidence of such a level as might justify immediate dismissal, or
might justify serious abductive consideration in planning one's research
program.
Conversely,
repeatable, respectable, controlled research with high levels of significance, is not formal proof either; science is not
about formal, absolute proof at all, but about probabilities and levels of
confidence. And when anecdote is all you have, then you make of it whatever use
that you may, even if that is no more than abductive.
If you are a real scientist.
Science
must have originated in the feeling that something was wrong.
Thomas
Carlyle
There
is yet another problem with the concept of formal proof in empirical science:
·
One
never can show formally that one has listed all possible meaningful hypotheses about
something that in principle is observable and falsifiable; if one has omitted such
a hypothesis, then, in principle, the omitted hypothesis might be the correct one;
if that is so, then even the most compelling alternative cannot be correct, no matter
how convincing it seems in the light of current work.
·
One
cannot so much as show formally that one has included the correct hypothesis (the
"god's‑eye‑view", or some simplification or representation thereof) in
the list at all, let alone that the truly correct and meaningful possibility is
the one that the observations support best.
·
One
cannot even be sure in principle that one's conception of the phenomenon is framed
in terms that can meaningfully and non‑trivially be related to the "god's‑eye‑view".
Consider
the technological sophistication of the typical hunter‑gatherer, no matter how intelligent, in
particular, one who has no conception of electricity or magnetism, and no
knowledge of metals or chemistry. Such a one would have great difficulty
formulating a meaningful theory about how a battery operated fan works. We in turn at present, have no idea of how
many levels of sophistication we stand below the TOE (“Theory Of Everything”)
of the god's‑eye‑view.
These
difficulties make sense in view of the well‑established and repeated
observation in the practice of science, that the greatest scientist is not
necessarily the one who finds the best answers, but very likely may be the one
who frames the best questions.
Now,
framing relevant questions in meaningful terms is a major challenge in the
design of meaningful experiments. Our
hunter‑gatherer might well ask whether that fan works because it has trapped
the spirit of a dragonfly or rather because it has trapped the spirit of a
hummingbird.
As
a good scientist the hunter‑gatherer might proceed to carry out experiments to
resolve the question. Statistical
analysis of his results might well yield high significance, but an industrial
engineer who designs electromagnetic fans might have a harrowing time
explaining why, in spite of significance at a level better than p=0.000001,
those experiments do not constitute strict proof that the fan works because
what it has in fact captured is indeed the spirit of a hummingbird, and not a
dragonfly.
One
of the engineer’s difficulties in convincing the investigator might be the fact
that both the experiments and the analyses were impeccable. Attempts to point out flaws in basic assumptions tends to be dismissed
impatiently as airy‑fairy academic quibbling beyond the rational concerns of
practical, down‑to‑earth experimentalists who know all about dragonflies and
hummingbirds, and can see that they have nothing to do with the nature of amber
and the fur of cats, neither of which in turn could have any conceivable
relevance to whirring fan blades.
Note
that this is a classic example of underdetermination, with the added
observation that it does not follow that because
you know that there is underdetermination, you know nature of all the
possible operative antecedents; you may not at all be in a position to include
the operative antecedent in your list of conceivable determinative hypotheses.
In
fact, you might not be equipped to guess at or understand the operative
antecedent at all, any more than the hunter‑gatherer could imagine such a thing
as a magnetic field or an electric motor.
In
our case, say in our conception of modern cosmology, we do not know whether we
are any nearer understanding the universe in terms more meaningful than the
hunter‑gatherers' conception of the principle of the operation of the fan. Would the Olympians with their god's‑eye‑view
laugh at the idea of the multiverse? Of
superstrings? Of the Big Bang? Of red-shift? Of gravity?
Of dark mass or energy? Of quantum theory, and in particular of quantum
entanglement? Of information? Of
evolution? Of matter? Of mind?
Of spirit? Of ideas? We don't know. And if those Olympians do laugh, we certainly
do not know what they would replace such things with, or in what contexts.
Much
less can we guess whether there are still higher meta‑Olympians who laugh at
our Olympians.
But
we can go on with our asking, doubting, thinking, measuring, induction,
synthesis, and falsification. All abject
activities no doubt, but, offensive though they seem to some people, they have
yielded proud results time and again.
And
they have systematically improved results in subsequent generations.
And
those results have certainly been more impressive in the past few centuries,
materially, philosophically, and ethically, than religion or tradition has
yielded at any time in the past twenty or so millennia.
Scientists
as a group do not tend towards conscious modesty,
I incline to think; and yet the philosophy of science implies an implicit
humility so deep as to transcend the mental horizons of the arrogance of dogma. Subjection of oneself and one's
Weltanschauung to a concept, be it never so small, or so counter‑intuitive, or
transcending the scale of every vision of humanity or the universe, and
dropping it or accommodating it according to what one can show about it; there
is humility to vaunt, if you like!
My
humility does not extend to omitting another quote of a Piet Hein aphorism:
The road to wisdom? ‑ Well, it's plain
and simple to express:
Err
and err
and err again
but less
and less
and less.
Note
yet again that these principles we observe in today's science still are not
dogma. They certainly are resilient,
because they are based on views that have developed through the centuries and
have taken coherent form, most spectacularly since the mid‑nineteenth century,
though the pace still shows no sign of moderating its rate of acceleration.
In
that process the bodies of theory and of empirical evidence have undergone
generations of criticism and have been adapted accordingly. Whether formal or empirical, they are subject
to review, dissent, and replacement at all times. Each adjustment to the underlying view may
have been disconcerting, but always has been assimilated once it has outlived
the fogies, young or old.
Note
that such assimilation need not imply compulsory acceptance of new conjectures
or theses as truth to be read and
revered by all, on tablets from the mountain. Every adjustment, however useful
or impressive, remains open to doubt indefinitely, and open to question and
revision in its context, in its turn.
The
problem for the innovative scientist is to persuade the community (or let it persuade
itself) that some particular new or dissenting view is preferable (for now, in
some particular context at least). In
fact, if you discuss the philosophy of science in different circles you will
find a great deal of variety in the details of all the opinions, but one thing
that no one but a crackpot would tell you, is that in science the way to
persuade a sceptic is by exercise of violence, majority, authority, threat, or
even reproach. It is no part of science
to prove the formally unprovable formally, or force anyone to believe anything
by moral or physical pressures.
This
no more suggests that any particular person who does work in scientific fields
is ethically sound, dogma‑free, or religion‑free, than that any religious
person must be without sin, heresy or doctrinal error. In effect many a professor in a field of
scientific study does accept something as dogma and does force it on his
students, and most of his students will swallow it as dogma, often without even
token inquiry, and without even being aware of the nature of dogma.
Many
of the top scoring students actually will object bitterly if asked to accept
views as conditional; what they want is hard fact that they can master for the
examinations. Some of them never outgrow
such childhood diseases, even if they in their turn succeed dogmatic professors
in their role as the next generation of dogmatic professors.
Some
of the most amusing, if upsetting, accounts of such thinking, which also evokes
reflection on topics related to cargo-cult science, you might read in Part 4 of
the book: SurelyYou
are Joking Mr Feynman! in which Feynman vividly illustrated how futile memorising
of scientific fact may be, given insufficient scientific thought.
All
that is sad of course, but it still is better than some other instances and
forms of dogmatism. No auto da fe is required
in eventually mending matters.
Mind
you, commonly such students and professors would be bitterly offended if anyone
pointed out the unscientific nature of their behaviour. Very likely the class notes contain a solemn
passage on the intellectual independence and dignity of science, and the
students can get marks for mentioning it in the exams.
So?
So
that dogma, that instance of unscientific
behaviour, is the creation of that
professor, not a component of the
field of science. That fact makes no
difference to the demands placed on the professor's rivals or associates. The proposition that his dogma asserts might
be robust or it might be transparent delusion.
All that the scientific community requires is that the work that a
dogmatist presents is subject to the same scrutiny as the work of anyone else. If the dogmatist takes such scepticism as a
personal affront, then so be it, go ahead and be affronted; the responsibility
of the innovator is to present theories, logic, or evidence, not to convince
every audience, let alone convince everyone forever.
Interestingly, I have read a lot of
Feynman's informal writings, and his stated opinions have so uniformly clashed
with his quip that: "philosophy of
science is as useful to scientists as ornithology is to birds", that I
would give good odds that he was making fun of the staid philosophers of
science, and those who philosophised without personal competence in the fields
about which they sounded forth. Such most certainly are in goodly supply. I
have encountered several myself.
In science the word
"scientist" as applied to a person, is far less meaningful than the
word "scientific" as applied to
his behaviour or his work. Furthermore,
on many occasions in history, unscientific
work performed by people under total misapprehension as to its meaning, has
produced material of value. For one
dramatic example, read up about the invention of the triode. One even could
argue that, until perhaps two centuries ago, material progress based on such
misconception was rather the rule than the exception.
Sometimes it still happens. What the
scientists of two centuries in the future will say of formal and professional
science in our time, we can only guess, or if we prefer, wait and see.
There
is one thing even more vital to science than intelligent methods;
and that is, the sincere desire to find out the truth, whatever it may be.
Charles
Pierce
Science
necessarily and sufficiently can be distinguished from religion by the
criterion of its absence of dogma. This
is sufficient as a basis for saying whether something that must be classified
as either religion or science, is one or the other. It is not to say that everything must be one
or the other, just that it cannot be both.
Nor does it guarantee that there is some mystical justification by which
our spiritual eye can see that if something is based on dogma, it is religion,
otherwise it is science.
Rather,
our distinction is a basic operation in the formal discipline of systematics:
·
identify
the (super)set you are dealing with
·
find
by inspection of some subset of its elements, one or more attributes that are not attributes of the rest of the
elements of its superset
·
by
definition you thereby have established two subsets whose membership can be diagnosed, using those attributes as
criteria, and as a defining context.
How
useful these diagnostic criteria are, is another matter. It depends on such things as:
·
how
practical the diagnosis is (can one rely on identifying elements and telling
which elements have which attributes?) and
·
how
relevant it is (Is it evidence, i.e. is
it reasonable to expect it to affect anyone's opinion?)
Given
n
objective, mutually independent attributes of elements in a set, there could be
a large number of ways of partitioning it into up to n subsets. We simply choose the one that seems most
useful in context. If anyone can
demonstrate a more coherent and relevant (i.e. more useful) partitioning, we
are free to reconsider.
Let's
consider a simplistic example. We have a set: (pigs, pigeons, penguins,
balloons, emus, aeroplanes, albatrosses, and bats). How should we partition
them into subsets according to their respective attributes? Obviously pigs are
closer to emus and penguins. And pigeons closer to bats, aeroplanes, and
albatrosses, right? You see where this
is going? One classification would give
the biologists strokes, while others would horrify flight engineers or
philologists or any of many other disciplines.
The
problem is not novel; if you have never read "Moby Dick" by Herman
Melville, have a crack at it and find the passage in which he concludes
that whales are fishes.
Well, the point is that if you wish to
classify categories, you need to be very careful in your choice of diagnostic
criteria. Bear that in mind and read on.
In our current exercise of separation
of the sheep from the scientists, the diagnosis is pretty comfortable and the
distinction that emerges is in fact the point at issue. It distinguishes what
most of us associate with religion, from what most of us perceive as science,
so yes, I think we quite easily can justify the choice of dogma as a practical
criterion. By all means supply clearer criteria if you can think of any that
would be relevant to the distinction and definition.
I reemphasise that this assumption does
not deny that there are other ways of splitting the set. It does not even imply that we have inspected
the set of belief structures comprehensively.
We have performed a notional exercise, and it seems to meet the needs of
our discussion. It also seems
sufficiently persuasive that if anyone rejects the view that our superset is
indeed usefully to be partitioned in that way, we can invite them to produce
counter‑examples that destroy the thesis, or at the least demand adjustments to
the thesis.
Or possibly demonstrate a different
partitioning that is still more persuasive and accordingly more useful.
In particular note that comparative
theologists may regard some dogmatic belief structures as religions and others
as sects or cults or superstitions or moral aberrations or the like. Also adherents to some beliefs are likely to
class their own beliefs as religion and other beliefs as anything from paganism
to heresy. None of this affects the
validity of the terminology in this essay within
its own context. Granted, in other contexts the terminology could
be inappropriate, but that does not affect the current theme.
Scientific behaviour can be
distinguished from non‑scientific behaviour primarily by the attitude to
falsification or functionally related epistemological principles. Science can
indeed be applied to the study of religion, personal experience, emotional
views, and the like, to the extent that the statements concerning such can be
expressed in falsifiable terms. The only
secure faiths are those that avoid falsifiable statements.
But security of such a nature tends to
be vacuous and accordingly need not imply persuasiveness.
When
the only tool you have is a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.
Abraham Maslow
As
long as people believe in absurdities they will continue to commit atrocities.
Voltaire
Note
once more that not everything is either science or religion. Some things are nonsense without being either
of the two. Is sport a religion? Some people might argue that for some people
it is, but even if it does turn out that in some cases this literally is true,
certainly it is not generally a reasonable thing to assert. Is sport science? Certainly science or scientific method can be
applied to the study of sport, or used to improve performance or technology in
sport, but again, simply and sensibly, sport
as such cannot be regarded as being science.
To
say such a thing about sport or other examples is neither praise nor criticism;
it just reflects differences between sport and science, or indeed, between
sport and religion.
On
the other hand, whether science or religion is sport depends on the attitude of
the particular practitioners or spectators.
It does not affect the science or the religion as such.
There
are dogmata in fields other than those we normally call religions. Some are milder, but some are about as fervid
as formal religions. Think about traditions, superstitions, racism, patriotism
and party politics. There are many such.
Humanity
seems to hunger for certainty, including certainty of prejudice, rather than
hungering for truth or cogency. In fact, that hunger might well be the
fundamental drive that impels the religious faithful in the first place. Once
the dogma is firmly established by tradition, you have the most important
components of a fully fledged religion, complete with illogic, intolerance,
rage, and righteous cruelty.
That
hunger for certainty, especially for unthinking certainty is so great that it
can be terrifying, especially when it manifests itself in uneducated people and
those who are educated beyond their capacity for analytic thought. Many an
inquisitive child or tenderfoot has been punished for questioning an
established fallacy, or even for finding a new technique that rendered an
established skill redundant. Practitioners of the old way would be inclined to
fly off the handle, sometimes violently.
Dogma
is the most convenient substitute for cogency, though one liberal minded dogma
of the last century or two is that what the human mind yearns for is
creativity, dignity, and freedom to think for oneself, and that the human
faithful hate dogma.
But
dogma saves the pain and effort of thinking; and suitable dogma can be
memorised and recited to give a comfortable sense of authority, superiority,
and righteousness; in that form it can justify any kind of cruelty and greed
and lack of thought, and if there is danger of argument, then, as long as they
are loud enough, rage and repetitive recitation will always work more
conveniently than sense or honesty, preferably in a crowd that is large enough
and supportive enough and enjoys howling down the opposition with slogans.
"Use not vain repetitions as the
heathen do"?
Really?
But the heathen know that repetition is
fun: "On top of old smOOOkyyy . . .
" over and over!
They know that repetition is easier
than thought; that it trumps sense, and is good for shouting down the
opposition, and that there is nothing better than dogma for shouting slogans
with a sense of righteousness.
The same sort of reasoning could be
applied to deciding whether art, law or business should be regarded as science
or religion (or perhaps sport. . . ?) When
we develop a scheme of classification, we should not forget that if some
objects do not fit into any of the classes, it does not necessarily make sense
to force them into one or the other, rather than allocating them to separate
classes of their own.
Science and religion largely are classes of attitudes and activities. In the role they play in anyone’s life, they
similarly largely are matters of context and degree. Not everyone is necessarily and
categorically, nor at all times, purely a scientist or purely a religious
adherent. One person might take a
scientific view of one matter, and an essentially religious view of another. Notice again that according to the criterion
of dogma, such a religious view need not even imply worship or virtue. A
religious Abrahamist who believes dogmatically in the existence of Satan might
actively disapprove of Satan and Satanism, but none the less would logically be
closer to being a Satanist than an atheist who firmly disbelieves: such an
atheist could not logically be a Satanist whether he wishes to or not. Nor
could anyone else who is not religious, whether an irreligist or not.
Even apart from such questions, it does
not follow that every body of theory must be all science or all dogmatically
based religion. A believer in a flat Earth
at the centre of the universe with the sun circling it daily in accordance with
his holy scripture, could make perfectly valid astronomical observations and
perhaps make valid scientific deductions from some of them. Some points of his views would be scientific,
and some would be religious.
What is more difficult is to imagine
how any one point could be both.
Intrinsically dogma need not
necessarily be all bad. For one thing,
for the bulk of humanity the best weapon against bad dogma is not something as confusing as science or cogently
sound philosophy such as epistemology or ethics, but something simple and
clear, like good dogma: unquestioning
belief in the tenets underpinning healthy ethics, practical modes of life, and
sound information. The human mind seems
to have a level of dogma which is healthy; traditionally religious people
sometimes tend to have a resistance to some superstitions that run riot through
the ranks of say, New Agers.
And what counts as "bad" or
"good" dogma? Or even non‑dogmatic "bad" or
"good" belief or opinion?
That is a matter of personal and social
values: it accordingly is beyond the scope of this essay. Rather than follow
that point in detail, I no more than point out in passing the following
principle:
Any
system of choice of behaviour, including any prescriptive system
of ethical behaviour,
that by its own nature, either implicitly or deliberately strives against its
own success,
whether it succeeds in this or not,
earns no right to survive: natural selection militates against it.
Artificial selection, and larger scopes
of definition of systems, are more complicated, but they are not immune to that
same principle.
Saint
Augustine, in the fourth century, in "De
Genese ad litteram" said:
It
very often happens that there is some question as to the earth or the sky, or
the other elements of this world — respecting which one who is not a Christian
has knowledge derived from most certain reasoning or observation, and it is
very disgraceful and mischievous and of all things to be carefully avoided,
that a Christian speaking of such matters as being according to the Christian
Scriptures, should be heard by an unbeliever talking such nonsense that the
unbeliever perceiving him to be as wide of the mark as east from west, can
hardly restrain himself from laughing.
And
the real evil is not that a man is subjected to derision because of his error,
but it is that to profane eyes, our authors (that is to say, the sacred authors)
are regarded as having had such thoughts; and are also exposed to blame and
scorn upon the score of ignorance, to the greatest possible misfortune of
people whom we wish to save. For, in
fine, these profane people happen upon a Christian busy in making mistakes on a
subject which they know perfectly well; how, then, will they believe these holy
books? How will they believe in the
resurrection of the dead and in the hope of life eternal, and in the kingdom of
heaven, when, according to an erroneous assumption, these books seem to them to
have as their object those very things which they, the profane, by their direct
experience or by calculation which admits of no doubt? It is impossible to say what vexation and
sorrow prudent Christians meet with through these presumptuous and bold spirits
who, taken to task one day for their silly and false opinion, and realizing
themselves on the point of being convicted by men who are not obedient to the
authority of our holy books, wish to defend their assertions so thoughtless, so
bold, and so manifestly false. For they
then commence to bring forward as a proof precisely our holy books, or again
they attribute to them from memory that which seems to support their opinion,
and they quote numerous passages, understanding neither the texts they quote,
nor the subject about which they are making statement.
---
He
was an embittered atheist (the sort of
atheist who does not so much disbelieve
in God
as personally dislike Him), and took a sort of pleasure in thinking that
human affairs would never improve.
George Orwell
Evolution? What is special about evolution in this
connection? Not much really; the
relevance is just that at present no branch of science is more rabidly attacked
by religious fundamentalists and zealots.
At the same time many such parties claim that evolution is no more than
another religion – that claim is a rearguard debating tactic intended to
nonplus those who claim that the study of evolution is a scientific discipline.
As a tactic it certainly is the most
intelligent that creationists have conceived so far. Creationists
are not much into intelligence, as any reading of "Intelligent
Design" demonstrates.
Of course, to speak of evolution as
either a religion or a science is careless terminology. Evolution is a process; it is a range, a
structure, of phenomena. You may believe
in evolution or not, study it or not, theorise about it or not, revere it or
not, but it could no more be a religion or a science than say, a glacier or the
colour red could be such a thing. And
whatever you believe about it is no more (nor less) of a religion or science
than what you believe about thermodynamics or cosmology or Bigfoot.
No, what people usually mean is
something like: the religion called evolution is the study of evolution, the
attitude towards evolution, a body of theory on evolutionary themes.
Such loose terminology is
understandable, if a little sloppy, so I make no fuss about it. In fact, I might be just as sloppy myself at
times, as I forgive those who trespass. It
is not at all unusual even for scientists to speak of “evolution” when they
mean “evolutionary theory”, "evolutionary adaptation", or the like.
And to conflate "evolution"
with "natural selection", is a very frequent verbal or terminological
blunder, even within the disciplines.
Certainly there are evolutionists whose
behaviour would be appropriate to religious zealots. We see them all the time. Some of them are actual professional
biologists, and many others are militant self‑styled sceptics who have read the
latest popular book and are ready to go out and shout down anyone who has not
seen the light. Sometimes they currently
are students who have studied one or more modules dealing with evolution.
They often are impressively informed,
articulate, and partisan: beware the zealotry of the proselyte; it makes an
uncomfortable ally of him!
Of course, evolution as a field of
study has nothing much to do with such things.
The fuss and bother are the product of human vanity, sloth, wrath,
avarice, and envy. I am less sure about
lust and gluttony, but I cannot exclude them outright.
But then how seriously are we to take
the claim that evolutionary theory, as she is spoke, could be religion? Let us apply the acid test, or perhaps the
touchstone: if it is religion, then where
is the dogma?
Famously, Darwin
based his theory on a few observations concerning the exponential propagation
of populations, the inevitable resultant mortality, its favourable effect on
those sub‑populations that bear suitable attributes and so on.
None of these is dogma.
All of them have been observed or deduced, and exposed to
falsification in the field or the laboratory in context after context,
experimental, observational, and philosophical. And they continually get re‑exposed,
re‑qualified, re‑expanded and re‑thought. Successive generations of
geneticists, zoologists, molecular biologists, botanists, evolutionary
psychologists, palaeontologists, microbiologists, and ecologists, publish,
observe, and experiment. Drop by drop they enlarge the flood that swells fuller
with marvels as the studies roll, revealing the expected and the unexpected.
And for all we know, some of those
dogmatists may worship, and sanctify, and proselytise. . .
Certainly many of them speak outright
nonsense on one point or another.
How could things be otherwise? We all
are in the image of the Homininae.
And then, oh so cunningly subtle, there
is the Great Darwinian Tautology: How‑Do‑We‑Define‑Fitness? After all, fitness is that which permits an
organism to reproduce effectively. How do we know the organism is fit? Why, simple: see how effectively it reproduces!
Surely this is about as cogent as any
typical Jesuitical exercise in apologetics?
(Please bear in mind that I use
the term “Jesuitical” in the traditional metaphorical sense of intricate,
casuistic, hair‑splitting, persistent argument or invective, commonly in bad
faith. I am sure that any
self-respecting modern actual Jesuit would scorn and deprecate such practice.)
So, with dogmatic baggage like that,
how is Darwinism any better than religion?
For what that is worth, relative
fitness in Darwinian work is well‑defined and is measurable by actual
correlation of genetic attributes with reproductive success. One might as well call magnetism a tautology
because it is something that acts on a magnet, while a magnet is something
acted on by magnetism. Over a century
ago Ambrose
Bierce was wittily acrid on that very point, but since his time we have
generated a great deal more substance to discuss when we argue about magnetism.
Mind you, even in Bierce's day geniuses
like Maxwell
and Faraday were establishing some really sound theory describing the
nature of magnetism, but we cannot demand that scientifically illiterate
literati like Bierce should let things beyond their ken inhibit their wit.
In discussing circular arguments in
evolutionary theory, we are even better off than physicists discussing
magnetism. Even Darwin would not have found it a challenge to
refute the charge of tautology, and since his day huge volumes of work have
addressed the measurement, prediction, nature, and effect of fitness in
hundreds or thousands of contexts. In
fact I cannot think offhand of much contemporary work on evolution, that does not focus on identification of the
components and mechanisms of fitness and their measurement.
As a concept, fitness is quite simple;
it comes down to the effect that a heritable variable has on the reproductive
success of a population.
That need not imply that the work necessary to investigate or
establish such an effect or concept need be anything
like simple, please note!
Among popular books describing the
subject, “The Beak of the Finch” by Jonathan
Weiner is a particularly convenient example. At a more professional level, every modern
textbook of evolution defines the concept and measure of fitness both verbally
and mathematically in various forms or contexts, as appropriate. Measurement of the concept is neither
arbitrary nor as trivial as it sounds. Even
in non‑sexually reproducing populations measuring fitness certainly is hard
work. In sexually reproducing
populations with overlapping generations and wide geographical ranges over long
periods, it becomes downright tricky.
But no one has shown that just because
the phenomenon of evolution is a topic of scientific study, it has to be
simple. Well, at least the idea is simple. As Thomas
Huxley said: "My reflection,
when I first made myself master of the central idea of the ‘Origin’ was, ‘How
extremely stupid not to have thought of that!’ I suppose that Columbus’ companions said much the same when
he made the egg stand on end".
Given such a vast background of support
in practice, and theory, and simple common sense, it is beyond me to imagine
any realistic prospect of the idea of fitness or of natural selection being
shaken in future. But in science there
is nothing, not a solitary thing, that forbids anyone to present evidence to
modify, replace, or even annihilate the theory.
You might argue that such work never would
get published, and you might have a point.
It certainly would not be easy to find anyone to take you seriously, any
more than you could easily find anyone to take seriously the theory that the
sun really is hollow. But it still would
not be forbidden, and if the new work really were cogent you could be pretty
confident that eventually the new insights would prevail.
And they would not take another four
hundred years to prevail.
Such cases do occur in science. One of
my favourites lately has been that of the jumping genes that Barbara McClintock
discovered: she struggled for decades to convince her colleagues of their
nature and reality.
The resistance to such new ideas
typically comes, not from doctrinal conspiracy of suppression, but from
people's refusal to believe — which after all no one will force them to
do.
So much for tautology and Jesuitry in
science!
Still no dogma.
The closest I can come to anything of
the type is the playfully named “central
dogma of molecular genetics” of Crick
and Watson. This stated that DNA in nature would be transcribed into either
DNA or RNA, and RNA into RNA or protein, but
not into DNA. There was a bit more to it, but the bit that I mention is the
bit that matters here.
Like most real dogma, that did not last
long in the face of the progress of science, but in any case it never
was a real dogma, neither in practice nor in intention, just a conveniently
challenging hypothesis with a provoking title. Crick and Watson had never seen
anything like that type of transcription, nor did they have any strong reason
to propose that it could happen in nature, so instead they proposed their
"dogma".
It turns out in fact that Crick had
proposed the term "dogma"
in ignorance: he had misunderstood what the word "dogma" meant, thinking
that a "dogma" just meant something like a "concept".
And like an honest scientist, he
advertised his own error once it was pointed out to him.
Big Deal!!!
But that is by the way.
And it still has nothing to do with
dogma in the correct sense, with its associated subtexts of compulsion. For one
thing, there never was the slightest fuss about changing it; in science
empirical observations rule, OK? In due course virologists did discover reverse transcription, for example in cells infected
with RNA viruses. Scientifically that
was enormously important, enormously exciting, and enormously interesting.
Possibly surprisingly to the layman
though, although it certainly was an exciting and important discovery, it was not particularly startling: so the
necessary enzyme did actually exist in nature did it?
Fine.
That was that. Let's take it from
there. What next?
And as the overthrow of dogma goes, it was about as earth‑shaking as a typical
report on a minor intra‑denominational ecumenical congress.
Still I find nothing in the study of
evolution that as a biologist I am compelled
by authority to believe, nothing that I must not criticise, any more than
if I were studying physics.
And is physics dogmatic? If you like, I suppose some people could argue
the point. And yet, no one got burned at stake for proposing the existence of
plate tectonics, electrons, N‑rays, polywater, relativity, cold fusion or
quantum mechanics. That brief list includes items now accepted as
incontrovertible and some that are now rejected as embarrassingly nonsensical;
a lot of people explained loudly how hot they became under the collar at
various times, but that was about as hot as they got. It is not for you and me to claim that
therefore they were dogmatists or that their theories, either pro or con, were
dogmatically based. As far as I know, no one even lost tenure or anything like
that.
Similarly those evolutionists who
functionally amount to religious zealots make no practical difference to the
status of evolutionary study as a branch of science rather than religion. However devout their professions might have
been, however influential their work may have been, it all got exposed to the
same erosive or supportive criticism and discussion, helpful, scornful,
enthusiastic or simply dismissive.
If it got sifted out, it got discarded,
or at least archived, no matter how slowly, how justly or unjustly, and no
matter how passionate the originator might have been.
Of course, as a matter of practical
fact the nut cases among the professionals in the discipline are the exception —
the rare exception — rather than the rule.
Your run of the mill evolutionist is an enthusiast, as well he might be,
given such a beautiful, varied, surprising, subtle, and absorbing field, but
that does not mean that he foists, demands, or accepts dogma, or that he is
shocked to have to defend his ideas and evidence with no support beyond
verifiable observation and falsifiable theory.
If anyone insists that such a situation
also is characteristic of his religion, good luck to him and his dogma, and may
his dogma match sense and material fact; if it does not, then something must
give: trying to impose dogma on realities is like ordering faith to sustain
Peter walking on the water; whatever Peter's faith, it only works while Peter's
density is sufficiently low and the frequency of his steps is sufficiently high
(typically some sixty steps per second for a human). And claiming that it does
work, has all the dignity and conviction of assertions that New Agers bouncing
around on their bums are achieving levitation by mental power.
Serious opponents of evolutionary
theory in general nowadays, have lapsed into spoiling tactics, for sheer lack
of material substance to support their objections, whether factual or logical.
In debate, the likes of "creation science" and "intelligent
design" have been reduced to the persuasiveness of the so‑called " Gish_gallop": the
tactic of presenting floods of incoherent, inaccurate, irrelevant, frequently
meaningless, assertions and quibbles as arguments. At its best it could shout
down anyone trying to present actual material for reflection. To refute each
one takes many times more time, space and effort than the challenge took, and it
is not worth it: anyone taken in by the noise is unequipped to take in the
substance.
I admit that the gallop tactic is
effective: it takes education and sense to recognise the dishonesty, and people
with deficient sense far outnumber those with educated minds. Mark
Twain recognised this, and portrayed it in the novel "Huckleberry
Finn" in the passage:
"H'aint
we got all the fools in town on our side?
And ain't that a big enough majority in any town?"
Or any country for that matter; look
about you. . .
For those whose attitude is scientific,
outcomes remain rewarding as long as the universe fundamentally behaves
consistently: it certainly remains characteristic of science that its
conclusions can outlive opponents and obstructionists.
After all, because science as a body is
not chained to any practically immovable body of dogma, it can adjust to new
findings almost as fast as they emerge and can be evaluated. Religions can at
best change inconvenient dogmata as fast as their hierarchy can explain that
what had seemed like heresy before, actually had always been the dogma, but
that a few evilly inspired people might have misunderstood.
The history of religious pronouncements
in the Abrahamic faiths makes informative reading, though unappetising.
I know hardly anything about other
beliefs.
“Mr Fuller, correct me if I am
wrong: you have already incorrectly forecast the end of the world
on four separate occasions. According to
you we were supposed to have had doomsday
in 1923, 1931, 1937, and as recently as 1950.”
“What are a few years here and there sir,
when measured against the limitless backcloth of eternity?
What are they but as grains of sand. . . ?”
Fuller’s
Earth
Having
distinguished religion from science, we might take the view that they really
have nothing to do with each other. After
all, if science has no dogma, then on what basis is the scientist to criticise
religious beliefs? When a scientist has
religious views of one kind or another, why should there be a problem? Religious dogma that deals with metaphysical,
unobservable, unverifiable, and unfalsifiable concepts should be outside the
field of scientific research, surely.
Philosophers
of various schools have glibly referred to such dogmatic and empiric fields as
being of separate magisteria, and accordingly claimed that to discuss
them in common terms is invalid.
Well,
maybe, but I reject such a view as unrealistic as well as spineless: it funks
the need to deal with salient difficulties, either within or between
disciplines. Consider the tooth fairy
and Santa
Claus. It is not possible to prove formally that they do not exist, any
more than one can prove formally that paranoid conspiracy theories are
groundless. Formally proving a negative
in the empirical world always is a tricky matter, and we have to fall back on
weaker, informal, forms of “proof” such as presenting evidence so strong that
to deny it one would have to be unreasonable.
Like
finding a coin under your pillow where you had put a discarded tooth the night
before. . .
Now,
for any dogma or assertion to belong to a magisterium distinct from that of
empirical science or observation, either
it must be nugatory, or it must make some assertions about reality,
assertions that differ from what would be
the case if the dogma were false. Given such assertions, they immediately
become open to observation by scientific activity.
Which
immediately and intrinsically disqualifies them from being in a magisterium other than that of empirical science.
In
science there is not much scope for respecting any theory that has negligible
relevance to anything else. In essence,
it is hard to guess how such a theory could be meaningful at all. To take such
a thing seriously simply would not make much sense, even outside formal
science. One might as well argue about whether the Seven Dwarfs wore beards or not,
and if so, when, and in which styles.
In
the practice of scientific work, the most valuable theories are those that have
implications for other theories and enable us to make predictions that we can
test, whether those predictions contradict established theory or not.
Valuable
theories also have a great deal of power to explain large classes of things. For instance current atomic theory explained
all sorts of things about the way matter behaves, whether in the form of gases,
solids, or liquids, or the way energy affects matter.
This did not happen all at once, but even so, within a few
decades of John
Dalton’s proposals that gave rise to modern atomic theory, there was hardly
anything in physics or chemistry that neither ultimately nor directly referred
to the atoms that made up matter.
And
that happened before our understanding of Dalton's
atoms was more than speculation. And during the investigation of the
implications of that theory, fallacy after fallacy, reasonable or not, was proposed and dismissed in its turn.
How
could things be otherwise? Facts beyond our powers of observation don't
obligingly manifest themselves in ways that are ready for typesetting in our
textbooks.
It
was well into the twentieth century before we began to have anything like a
direct view of actual atoms or molecules; and yet most of our current knowledge
had progressed very nicely thank you, together with the predictions of vital
classes of objects and effects beyond the imaginations of non‑scientists, or
even of brilliantly competent scientists of earlier centuries.
Do
not get too complacent about atomic theory though; we still are making discoveries
today about atoms and their interactions and components. It is not yet clear
when or whether we will know all about atoms.
Atomic
theory was not the only example of a theory that had wide support in thinking
about something that had not yet been undebatably demonstrated nor understood.
The seventeenth‑to‑nineteenth century theory of ether was another good theory,
or perhaps I should say, collection of theories and their implications. In contrast to atomic theory, the theory of
ether was discarded near the beginning of the twentieth century, perhaps
permanently, but in its time it supported a lot of ideas that led to work that
in turn led to much of recent physics.
Such
ideas that at first look reasonable, but later are rejected as wrong, are rather
like scaffolding that supports the construction of later theories, and then
gets broken down and discarded once the building can stand on its own.
Even today residues or mutations of
ether theory are making small waves.
Only a fool fails to respect the scaffolding
that is necessary for new and great constructions.
Now, suppose a theory cannot be
criticised because it can answer all objections of people who cannot see any
evidence for it (“You cannot see the Tooth Fairy because she can make herself
invisible; you cannot detect her gravitationally because she is too light” and
so on).
Such immunity to criticism may sound marvellous to anyone who does not
understand science. The problem is that
as you go down that road, you soon find yourself at the point where every prediction the theory makes is just the same
as if the theory were left out. For
example, the world of the Tooth Fairy then looks just the same as if there were
no Tooth Fairy. This follows because if
things were not so, then we could find evidence for or against the Tooth Fairy. All we need to do is see what difference the
Tooth Fairy would make, and then look for that difference. If we do not find that difference after
looking long and hard enough, then we assume
for the present that there is no
Tooth Fairy.
Have we thereby proved that there is no
Tooth fairy?
Of course not, but there is no
practical limit to the number of things we could imagine but never could
detect. How about a separate Tooth Fairy
for every tooth in the world? Can you
prove that to be false if you accept even one Tooth Fairy?
In science, are we immune to such
difficulties?
Be careful!
When we refuse to accept the existence
of something as long as the only evidence for its existence is that you cannot
prove that it does not exist, then we are following an important principle in
science and simple common sense. This is
the principle of parsimony or of theoretical elegance. I already have mentioned
it; it sometimes is called Occam’s razor: cut out every assumption one can do
without. The fact that for the present
you can do without those assumptions does not
prove that they are wrong, but it does mean that a sceptic is on strong
ground if he refuses to believe when belief demands extra assumptions that
violate that principle.
Historically in fact, the effectiveness
of Occam’s razor has been so great that it seems almost suspicious. Why should the simplest possible assumption
nearly consistently turn out to be the best in practice?
I say again: Occam’s Razor is not a scientific
axiom, just a useful tool, a rule of thumb. Still, it is an uncomfortably sharp
tool. Failing the razor test is a bad,
bad thing for dogma. It is so bad, that
commonly it disqualifies a hypothesis if there is insufficient good evidence to
rescue it.
Then there are various rules that
depend on the consistency of theories with predictions based on those theories. For instance, Darwin proposed that there should exist
undiscovered species of insects with particular types of mouthparts, because on
the basis of his theory and the structures of particular orchids, no known
species could have pollinated them. Sure
enough, decades later, in fact after Darwin's death, a
hawk moth was discovered that
did pollinate those orchids. If the
moth had never been found, then some other theory would have had to be tested,
say: that some undiscovered tribe had bred the orchid artificially. And of course, if the moth had died out
before anyone had discovered it, then perhaps we never would have discovered
the answer to that question at all.
Such things do happen: the universe is
not run for the convenience of research workers; nothing in science promises
that we shall find the answer to every question, nor that all the answers we
find are fully correct answers, or correct at all.
Such principles are basic to science,
and if you think about them carefully, they are basic to common sense as well.
So much so that some people characterise "science" as "glorified
common sense".
Now, according to the principle of
parsimony, the less a dogmatic belief has to say about anything we can test,
the less seriously a sceptic need take that belief. If it offers us nothing to test, dump it
straight into the Santa Claus bin: it makes no practical difference in life. If
we want Christmas presents, we cannot rely on the Santa hypothesis: someone
must buy, beg, borrow, or steal them, make them, or otherwise obtain them; it
is not enough just to send letters to the North Pole. But given that that is the case, we might as
well ignore Santa; leave out the assumption that there is any Santa. We pay just as
much to just the same people as if there were no Santa, whether we have been
good children or not.
But if there is something to test, such
as the tears of a statue turning to blood for one day every year, then the
sceptic may argue that he has grounds for disbelief if he is not permitted to
perform or witness the test to his reasonable satisfaction, or if the statue
fails the test.
This is not a special attack intended
for the destruction of religious claims; it applies to everything in science as
well. Some of the earlier scepticism
about the skull of the Piltdown man began when the parties in possession of the
skull, and who really passionately believed that it was genuine, refused to let
sceptics examine it.
Not that every such refusal immediately
amounts to grounds for absolute disbelief of course — there may be many
reasons for not letting self‑confident amateurs play around with irreplaceable
specimens. For instance, the custodians
of the Archaeopteryx
fossils refused to let the late, brilliant, but biologically naïve, Fred
Hoyle experiment on the material that he wanted to prove to be faked.
And if he and some others elected to
believe it to be faked, too bad! We
do not gratify a religious zealot who claims that an aircraft is a delusion and
a fake, by letting him pilot an airliner to demonstrate the truth of his dogma —
we care far less about his belief or disbelief than about the costs and risks
that his attempt would entail.
Of course, we might not force him to
accept vaccination when he insists that his faith will protect him from
infection, but then we might not permit him to mingle unvaccinated, with other
people whom he might infect.
But suppose we were to turn out to be
wrong in rejecting his dogma? Well, suppose we actually were? People have
proved to be wrong in science throughout the history of science.
And how do such errors get corrected?
Through more science.
And how do dogmata get challenged and
corrected?
Commonly through scientific work.
And how gratefully do the dogmatists
accept the helpful correction?
Ask the custodians and believers in the
Turin shroud,
or the liquefaction of the alleged blood of a saint: alleged blood kept in a
reliquary, and that is said to liquefy periodically at particular ceremonies. It is not clear to me why that should or
should not be holy, but each to his own faith. . .
But when investigation falsifies such
correction of dogmatic assertions, the thanks are small and the recriminations
bitter.
In such connections we begin to see
where the spheres of science and religion overlap, thereby falsifying the "independent
magisteria" nonsense. Science
cannot disprove assertions whose implications are not in principle observable,
but commonly it certainly can give strong reason either to accept, interpret,
or reject observables that have been
predicted. If items of dogma entail the
predictions, then testing the predictions can make or break those items except
for the perversely faithful.
See whether this sounds familiar:
“ . . . they are like the
deaf adder that stoppeth her ear; Which
will not hearken to the voice of charmers, charming never so
wisely . . . ”
In case it does not sound familiar, you
may find it in the King James version of the bible, Psalms 58, verses four and five. You also may find a difference between the
attitudes of scientist and Psalmist. Scientists
say in effect: “Suit yourself whether you
believe my argument or not; now, unless you have some new and relevant
material, excuse me while I carry on with the next question, hopefully something
more interesting.”
The psalmist, on the other hand, in the
next verse, and in psalm 91, verse 19, goes on about breaking the teeth of
those naughty, naughty adders and the young lions.
Ah well, each to his own! But it was the scientists, not the tooth
breakers, who revealed the Creation to be vaster and more wonderful than anyone
had imagined from readings of the bible.
Myth‑mongers described the universe as being most relevantly a garden;
scientists showed it to be ineffably larger, older, and more complex than any
garden — and more wonderful. Science has not only added colours to
the rainbow, but shown that the rainbow is a minuscule sliver of the spectrum;
and that is characteristic of every topic where pre‑scientifically ignorant priests
and dictators tried to characterise the universe in terms of their limited
vision.
Understandably, their views almost
consistently, not only were radically wrong, but were so small minded in every
dimension, in comparison to what we now are learning about the universe, that
it casts a pall of tragedy over our intellectual and practical history. Depending
on how one measures the progress of our history and prehistory our progress has
been positive for something like one percent of our history.
If we had maintained the current trend
of advance for the last twenty thousand years or so, where would we have been
by now?
There is a smug pride, not just a
cruelty, but a smallness of mind and conception, in prescriptive and
proscriptive formulators of dogma, that I see as being mentally destructive in
the highest degree. Nothing shows up the
sin of pride more mercilessly, more accusingly.
To religion of that flavour, science
very rightly is the arch fiend, the destroyer of faiths.
Never mind all the things that various
faiths waste or destroy — the lives and the civilisations.
In contrast to religious dogma, the
field of scientific endeavour has its own ways of dealing with the ignorance
and error of its practitioners. The history of science is full, absolutely
crammed, with hypotheses, predictions, or ideas that demand the existence of
things unspecified or specifically predicted, but that either remain stubbornly
unobserved, or are contradicted by unexplained events. A dramatic recent
example has been the detection of gravitational waves: for nearly a century we
failed to find them. In fact, at first it was widely accepted that they would
never be observable at all. Gravitation is not my field, but I was among the
sceptics who thought they would never be detectable, however real they might
be. Then some idiots began to waste money and effort in trying to detect
gravitational waves. And naturally they repeatedly failed to detect them.
Could anything be more dogmatically
religious?
And then, just a few years before the
time of my writing this, not only did the workers in that field actually detect
gravitational waves after decades of repeated effort, but they
immediately were able to apply their observations to advances in cosmological
science, so much so, and so usefully, that routine observations now are being
made, and more powerful and advanced gravitational observatories are being
planned or constructed!
Compare such advances, and their cost
and profit in time, effort, and effect, with the fields of religious dispute or
conjecture!
What science does overtly
conflict with is what, speaking loosely, I will call religious fundamentalism. Fundamentalists
are believers who deny, abjure, and commonly forbid, anything they see as
clashing with what they take to be their given “truth” or dogma. If they believe that their dogma demands that
the world be flat or just a few thousand years old, then everything that
suggests say, roundness or billions of years, is a delusion and probably a
deliberate Snare of Evil. And so is
anything that suggests that in their fundamentalism they themselves might have
mistranslated or misunderstood their own dogma or anything it might entail. Logic need not come into it. Even innocent questioning or discussion of
the matter may be evil.
What really is wryly amusing, is that fundamentalists as a rule, vigorously object
to logic and evidence as criticism of their dogma. "Logic isn't everything" they
shout, when challenged with logic. Then they argue back with. . . (wait for it!) logic and evidence — of
sorts.
Ask such a person why they reject logic, and the answer is likely to begin:
“Because. . .”
Now, anyone who starts a statement with
“Because” is implicitly trying to state an implication. That is to say that he is trying to use logic. Otherwise there is no implication — and, accordingly, no
"because".
I admit that the fundamentalists do not
go out of their way to be consistent. Their
logic and evidence often are flawed, and they abandon both logic and evidence
and common decency and courtesy when caught contradicting their own dogma. Afterwards they feel free to come aboard
again at another point. At this point they are likely to employ the Gish
Gallop, hoping to mask their weakness by lots of noise and more distracting
claims than anyone will have time to refute.
These are convenient practices for
point scoring in bad‑faith debating, discrediting their own gods with their own
abject and polluted ethics — it would cause sleepless nights for anyone
who tries to be honest with himself, but it nicely suits that sort of ethics.
What other kind of religion does one
get? Are there religions of honesty, of
humility in recognising that perhaps neither the author of the dogma, nor the
faithful, might have known everything, might have been right about everything? Or indeed, right about anything non‑trivial?
Think about it. And then think about how the rabble‑rousing
types harness even religions with pretensions to love and compassion, to
propound demonstrable nonsense, the cruellest, most destructive dogmata,
exploiting them for parasitism, demagoguery, and self‑aggrandisement. Some of these beliefs class themselves as
religions, some as manifestos, but their authors are unwilling to trust their
followers to think for themselves; they are obsessed with the need to tell them
what to think.
Don’t bother to read my lips; just look
about you.
How is that sort of abuse possible, let
alone perennial and ubiquitous? It has been with us through the ages and around
the world. As I see it, the fundamental reason is that no humanly formulated
dogma has ever been complete, let alone perfect; in fact I do not believe
completeness or perfection is possible, and even if it were, the followers of
that perfect dogma could be imperfect and corrupt, and those that innocently
mean the best would be at the mercy of those who preach the loudest and do the
worst.
But the dogmata never are complete
anyway, and this is why we get schisms and sects: no matter how passionately
the crowd begins in unison of worship, as soon as they settle down to to
discuss the technical details, they discuss details of difference, and afterwards the most persuasive of the rogues are
the turds that float to the top.
For such, science is an abomination, of
no use except in helping to produce new and more media for domination, and more
effective instruments of destruction: it was science that led to the technology
that provided them with the media that amplified their power.
Media that some of them have used
without conscience or responsibility or reserve.
And yet, surely a civilisation that
relies on hiding the flaws in its unjustified beliefs cannot command much
respect, or expect much progress.
Arguably
the crassest abuse of logic and good faith among religious zealots,
fundamentalistic or not, is that when they are confronted by facts and good
faith, they assume the Mantle of Religion and Righteousness, standing sturdy
and monolithic in the face of Atheism, Satanism, too‑Cleverness, and
"Science", not to mention, of course, Darwinism, even if
they really don't know what that is.
(Denialists
of evolution who do know what it is,
more or less at a superficial level, cannot do more than piling up verbiage,
buzzwords, and flat assertions about the nature of the discipline; they do the
Gish Gallop at its worst, because the gallop is all they have.)
Now,
the trouble is that there simply is no such Mantle to cover their nakedness.
Each nominal religion, each sect, in fact, each individual zealot, has its own
little rag or figleaf in default of a Mantle, and in the absence of the common
enemy — common sense — they conflict; and when they conflict, they
often exhibit more spite and hatred for each other than for the evolutionary
arch‑foe.
An
immediate question to such an apologist in isolation, could be something like:
"And you claim to be speaking for. . .?" If the claim is "for
all True Belief, for all Christianity!" (In reality it often is just for a
local splinter community), one could ask: "How can you justify that? No
one could justify such a claim. The sects and individuals disagree violently on
all sorts of points. I have no reason to accept you as the authority.
"If
on the other hand you claim to speak for the bible, then why should I take it
seriously, or take your opinion of the bible seriously? It is a book compiled
by assorted groups from assorted third‑party sources down the centuries. And
the compilation began centuries after the accepted time of Christ; not
surprisingly even its historical substance is full of patent self‑contradictions,
mythology, and nonsense. Practically all its assertions concerning the reality
and nature of divinity or the universe are variously meaningless and
inconsistent. That does not prove that the book is without any merit, but it
certainly robs it of all fundamental authority, and it lends no authority to
your claims".
If
the claim is more like: "No one; I speak for myself, much as you do, and
am justified in claiming as much authority as you do, with all your book
knowledge" then you are dealing with someone deserving with more respect;
but remember that you are claiming no respect for your own authority beyond the
substance you can present from biology, mathematics, physics, and chemistry,
available for development and falsification, and increasing in power as we
debate.
That
doesn't mean that you necessarily are home and dry, but if you have done your
homework, you are in as good a position as anyone reasonably might ask.
There
always remains scope for more niggles based on various tactics of bad sense or
bad faith, commonly based on assorted errors, lies, partiality, and logical
fallacies; there always are more ways of talking nonsense than of talking
sense. One that I recently encountered online was something like:
"If
I cannot prove that something is impossible, then it is possible; and I cannot
prove that god does not exist, therefore it is possible that he does
exist."
From
that it is a short step to: "so god does exist", and often to:
"and it follows that Darwinism is rubbish at best".
Personally
I see that as a pretty tenuous support for anything, but the sources seemed
very smug about their own ingenuity. But the same form of argument applies
equally to proving the existence of the Tooth Fairy, Santa Claus, and the
Flying Dutchman.
And
indeed, to Darwinism. Any simultaneous proof of everything and of the
negation of everything, is no proof of anything.
From
fallacies like that, the parties who advance such argument, imply that the
conjectural proof of possibility is practically as good as material proof of
existence.
Now,
that sort of thing is fairly typical of proofs of assertions concerning
supernatural entities in general, but there are whole classes of assertions
along similar lines: the main ones I have in mind at this point, demand proof
or disproof of meaningless propositions.
As I already have pointed out, there is
not much one can do about meaningless propositions, even if syntactically well‑formed.
The reason is that one essential attribute of a semantically meaningless
proposition is that, though one cannot say that it is true, it does not follow
that one can say its negation is true, because negation does not generally
introduce semantic content. Suppose we
decided that: "Woollen music enjoins havered diagonals around pain"
is not true, we still could not validly conclude that "Woollen music
enjoins havered diagonals into pain" is true; you cannot convert a pile of
bricks into a building by overturning the pile.
This principle is categorically
different from factual propositions. If I can say that the proposition that
penguins are mammals, is false, then
I can confidently negate the proposition to get the true proposition that penguins are not mammals. To claim that a penguin is a mammal is meaningful,
even though it is not true, which is why its negation is true; I might have to
do extra work to prove that a penguin is a bird, but I can already be sure of
how to go about showing that it is not a woodchuck.
Anyway, that sums up most of it. In science your final arbiter is what you see
in the world about you; in religion your final arbiter is your dogma; in
fundamentalism it is your literal view of your dogma as you personally
interpret it.
The
fellow that agrees with everything you say
is either a fool or he is getting ready to skin you.
Kin
Hubbard
When
you cannot prove that people are wrong,
but only that they are absurd,
the best course is to let them alone.
T.H.Huxley
A thing is not necessarily true because
a man dies for it.
Oscar Wilde
Notice
that this section does not deal so much with dogma — which might be justified in some connections — as
with dogmatism,
which, as far as I can see, it would be hard to justify at all.
What
is the difference, you ask? After all,
dogma is that which you certainly must not deny, and as a rule, is that which
you must assert. If assertion of dogma
is not dogmatism, then what is?
That
sounds reasonable, but it overlooks some important differences in subtexts and
the way people deal with their dogmata. It
also shows a weakness in the concept of rigid doctrine as a basis for a belief. Given a structure of dogma built on certain
basic statements of religious tenets, it might in theory be correct that every
one of those is literally true. It
certainly is true that some people do believe this of their own dogma.
Of
two points of difficulty, one is internal and one is external.
The
external difficulty is that there are many groups of such people, each as
passionate as the next, but no two agree on each point, each vital point;
sometimes they differ on practically every vital point. And sometimes they are willing to kill to
assert a single, objectively minor, point. This is not too serious from the
point of view of any particular fundamentalist, because although it certainly
is impossible for two such groups to be correct simultaneously, it is theoretically possible for just one to
be correct.
And
of course each of them is willing to die for his belief that his is that
correct one. The alternative
possibility, that every single one of all the rival beliefs is built on hot air
and social parasitism, is not to be entertained.
So
we shall not entertain it. Not here and
now.
The
other difficulty is more serious and is harder to fix. Fortunately for their own peace of mind,
fundamentalists are not generally inclined to be analytical; after all, if they
were, then they would not be fundamentalists in the first place. The only reason that many of these sects have
more than one member is that practically none of the members seriously get
together to work out what each really sees as the true implications of the
tenets of his faith. In fact it is rare for such a faith to include anyone at
all capable of seeing anything of the kind. If they had been so capable, they
would not have been members of the faith in the first place.
Now,
by the time you have enough material to base any impressive religion on, you
have enough to guarantee that no two people will see all of it the same way. However, there are a few things that
practically all religions agree on; for instance:
·
Each
claims to be true, based on the true fount of wisdom.
·
And
to be good.
·
And
each of the others is bad, or at best mistaken, its assertions on matters of
fact, being Untruths.
·
Or,
in ecumenical charity, they at least have a poorer conception of crucial
matters than your own sect has.
Let
a zealot have his head in an environment like that, and you have a recipe for
disaster. For one thing he is working
with a mass of material that it is not possible for any person to make full
sense of — don't take my word for it, just see how often you find two
persons reading the holy scriptures of any religion and giving the same
independent answers to penetrating questions without having colluded with each other. It only happens when the
questions are among those their catechisms provide boiler‑plate answers for;
answers that themselves might or might not be meaningful or substantial. And
such questions accordingly are not very penetrating.
In
fact, doing something of that kind to demonstrate to members of such a sect
that they differ in their views and faiths, is a good way of starting up new
schismatic sects! And there is no bitterness greater than between rival
schismatic sects that regard each other as traitors.
Another
thing to try is to get a lot of predictions about the world around us,
predictions that follow from the sacred texts.
Even though our tame fundamentalist theologians take their respective
scriptures as the literal truth, they don't often agree with each other in
detail, though they don't let that put them off pontificating about it. And
insofar as their statements are about the empirical world, they necessarily are
either falsifiable or nonsensical. And practically every non‑negligible
prediction ignominiously fails the test of falsification.
The
sketch of Jeremiah Fuller quoted earlier, was actually based on an real flat Earth fanatic,
as documented by Martin
Gardner, and lampooned on a 1962 45rpm record by Peter Sellers & Graham
Stark: Fullers Earth.
Gardner's
description still makes instructive reading, and at the time of writing the
recording still can be found online.
It
follows that practically all the nontrivial statements of the dogmatists cannot
be the word of any honest and omniscient godhead, which is just what the
faithful claim it to be. And to claim that incoherent untruth, in fact,
commonly incoherent nonsense, is the word of a transcendent god, when it can at
best be the frothings of fallible
humans, as a rule fools or parasites, automatically amounts to blasphemy.
Just
as well for them that they are talking nonsense, or by now the whole lot would
have been blasted as horrible examples by their respective gods.
They
remain a nuisance to the rest of us though . . .
In July 2024 I encountered
the 2009 book by Jerry Coyne: "Why Evolution is true". If he ever
reads this essay, he no doubt will be saddened to find that I do not in fact
agree with everything he says. . .
But it is a pretty close
thing!
I recommend his book as a
closely‑argued and educated discussion of the relationship between science, in
particular evolution, and religion, anti‑science, their relevance, and other
problematic topics.
Readable too!
Anyone who reads his book in
the context of my remarks in this essay can tell that Professor Coyne and I use
slightly different definitions of "science". And, having read his
views on "Free Will" as retailed in Wikipedia, I differ with his
thinking there. Some of my tangent reasons appear in a
blog of my essays at this link.
Meanwhile, my admiration to
Jerry Coyne, and thanks for a very good read.